Players / Player profile
NYY · 1B

Paul Goldschmidt

Age 39 B/T R/R 6′2″, 225 lb USA MLB debut 2011
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.3M ($1M–$6M)
xwOBA .311 wOBA .337
2026 fWAR 1.6
Projected 2027 WAR 0.0 Keystone Marcel+ at 236 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 377 PA

xwOBA .311 xwOBA: .311, 38th percentile
Swing decisions −0.12 Swing decisions: −0.12, 41st percentile
Contact value +0.49 Contact value: +0.49, 64th percentile
Bat speed 71.4 Bat speed: 71.4, 39th percentile
Squared-up / swing 21% Squared-up / swing: 21%, 38th percentile
Blasts / swing 7% Blasts / swing: 7%, 33rd percentile
EV90 103.1 EV90: 103.1, 33rd percentile
Barrel % 9.9% Barrel %: 9.9%, 67th percentile
Chase % 32.3% Chase %: 32.3%, 33rd percentile
Zone contact 77.0% Zone contact: 77.0%, 6th percentile
Strikeout % 22.6% Strikeout %: 22.6%, 44th percentile
Walk % 7.2% Walk %: 7.2%, 26th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP181.414.37118%11%26%+0.62+1.89
RHP196.266.25527%4%39%−0.87−0.59
Attack angle
11.7° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+2.8°
Swing length
7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate
13%
Pull-air %
15.7%
Hard-hit %
35.9%
Slash · wRC+
.252/.313/.452 · 111

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.9+0.1−0.6+0.7−0.4+0.9+2.0−1.6+1.3−0.8−1.5−0.3−1.1+3.1+0.4−1.7−1.4−1.0+1.4+0.3+1.1+3.2+1.3−0.2−1.7RHB

Does the most damage middle-away (+3.1 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 76 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−1.6), but only 0.7 standard errors from average on 55 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,369 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Goldschmidt: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
63Sal Stewart CIN · ’03.3422.02.1Pre-arb
62Blaze Alexander BAL · ’99.3581.51.2Pre-arb
62Ty France SD · ’94.3283.61.0Free agent
57Carlos Narváez BAL · ’98.267−0.60.8Pre-arb
57Teoscar Hernández LAD · ’92.3321.20.6Signed $22.2M

Ty France (similarity 62, 1.0 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
1B +4.2 −8.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B+6+4+2.8+6.82,574
20251B−3−2+5.0+3.04,334
20241B00+1.2+1.25,505
20231B+3+2+1.6+3.65,048

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) 0+1Back 00Toward 3B line −2+4Toward 1B line 0+1vs. RHH −10vs. LHH −2+5
Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)
Arm at 1B 66.8 mph · 4th
Sprint speed 25.5 ft/s · 10th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20261B158+0.3
20251B235−6.6
20241B313+5.8

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.0 WAR Free agent
2028 −0.5 WAR Free agent
2029 −1.0 WAR Free agent
2030 −1.3 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 17% 1/6 won · −0.9 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.