TOR · P

Michael Lorenzen

Age 34 B/T R/R 6′1″, 210 lb USA MLB debut 2015

Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.5M ($1M–$6M)

Keystone Stuff 84 4th pct

2026 fWAR 0.2

Projected 2027 WAR 0.3 Keystone Marcel+ at 120 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,399 pitches

Keystone Stuff 84

Keystone Location 98

Keystone Pitching 85

Run value (xRV) −1.29

Strikeout % 14.5%

Walk % 8.7%

Whiff % 18.0%

Chase % 24.1%

Fastball velo 93.7

Extension 5.8 ft

127.1 IP7.21 ERA5.45 FIP 39° arm1 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 39° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Changeup20% use	20%	84.6	8.3	+14.5	91	87	28%	−0.96
Sinker20% use	20%	93.4	8.0	+15.3	87	103	9%	−2.10
Four-seam19% use	19%	94.0	13.8	+10.2	85	100	10%	−1.94
Cutter14% use	14%	90.2	6.8	+0.5	90	107	13%	−0.90
Curveball11% use	11%	82.7	−9.5	−0.4	87	89	23%	−0.19
Sweeper8% use	8%	82.8	0.2	−9.0	96	90	34%	−1.00
Slider8% use	8%	86.3	0.9	−1.7	95	116	22%	−0.98

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Lorenzen: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
46	Brayan Bello BOS · ’99	85	1.0	1.4	Signed $8.7M
45	Rhett Lowder CIN · ’02	81	1.3	1.5	Pre-arb
45	Bryce Elder ATL · ’99	80	1.2	1.1	Arb
40	Kumar Rocker TEX · ’99	89	1.6	1.4	Pre-arb
38	Stephen Kolek KC · ’97	90	0.5	1.0	Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Changeup 28%

29% zone

Four-seam 23%

51% zone

Sinker 15%

50% zone

Cutter 15%

54% zone

Curveball 12%

37% zone

Slider 6%

39% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.3 WAR Free agent

2028 0.0 WAR Free agent

2029 −0.3 WAR Free agent

2030 −0.6 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AA	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	33	2	8.2 IP	8.2 IP · 7.27 ERA · 22.0% K · 14.6% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 50% 1/2 won · 0.0 runs