Players / Player profile
CHC · P

Caleb Thielbar

Age 39 B/T R/L 6′0″, 205 lb USA MLB debut 2013
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.0M ($1M–$5M) if his mutual option is declined
    1 caution
    • Holds a $6.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
  • Injured list 2026: Left hamstring strain (Apr 24–May 19)
Keystone Stuff 111 85th pct
2026 fWAR −0.2
Projected 2027 WAR 0.1 Keystone Marcel+ at 29 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 848 pitches

Keystone Stuff 111 Keystone Stuff: 111, 85th percentile
Keystone Location 107 Keystone Location: 107, 83rd percentile
Keystone Pitching 112 Keystone Pitching: 112, 90th percentile
Run value (xRV) −0.14 Run value (xRV): −0.14, 35th percentile
Strikeout % 28.3% Strikeout %: 28.3%, 85th percentile
Walk % 8.5% Walk %: 8.5%, 55th percentile
Whiff % 28.9% Whiff %: 28.9%, 78th percentile
Chase % 35.8% Chase %: 35.8%, 93rd percentile
Fastball velo 93.3 Fastball velo: 93.3, 30th percentile
Extension 6.2 ft Extension: 6.2 ft, 27th percentile
50.0 IP4.86 ERA4.70 FIP 55° arm3 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SCUSLST
LHP · arm angle 55° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam39% use39%93.318.8+4.210510124%−1.06
Curveball25% use25%76.3−14.3−6.810710729%+1.05
Slider21% use21%87.55.2−4.811310338%−0.29
Sweeper14% use14%80.2−1.4−14.910810831%+0.53

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Thielbar: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
45Ryan Rolison CHC · ’971050.30.0Arb
41Erik Sabrowski CLE · ’971111.20.8Pre-arb
28Hogan Harris ATH · ’961110.50.5Arb
20DL Hall MIL · ’981110.30.4Arb
17Aaron Ashby MIL · ’981171.51.1Signed $7.7M

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 44%
47% zone
Curveball 38%
37% zone
Slider 18%
37% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.1 WAR Mutual option $6.0M
2028 0.0 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.1 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent

His 2027 is a $6.0M mutual option, decided ≈ Nov 1–5 (either side can decline it). The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026A+A+South Bend Cubs3911 IP 1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 40.0% K · 20.0% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.