SD · P

Nick Pivetta

Age 33 B/T R/R 6′5″, 210 lb Canada MLB debut 2017

40-man

Free agent est. 2 yr × $10.5M ($4M–$20M) if his club option is declined · +0.9 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as its #4 starter
2 cautions
- His $14.0M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
- Missed most of 2026, 34 IP in 2026: his projection rests on 2024–25, with playing time cut for the missed season. Medicals come first.
Injured list 2026: Right elbow inflammation (Apr 14–Sep 7)

Keystone Stuff 96 34th pct

2026 fWAR 1.3

Projected 2027 WAR 1.5 Keystone Marcel+ at 95 IP

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 578 pitches

Keystone Stuff 96

Keystone Location 103

Keystone Pitching 95

Run value (xRV) +0.67

Strikeout % 30.0%

Walk % 5.7%

Whiff % 22.8%

Chase % 35.5%

Fastball velo 94.0

Extension 6.9 ft

34.2 IP2.86 ERA2.21 FIP 57° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 57° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam52% use	52%	94.0	20.3	+3.4	105	100	21%	+0.80
Curveball22% use	22%	79.0	−14.9	−6.5	83	107	27%	+0.42
Cutter13% use	13%	91.1	13.7	−2.5	85	102	12%	+0.58
Sweeper11% use	11%	81.6	3.5	−12.0	106	93	42%	+0.13

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Pivetta: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
59	Sean Burke CWS · ’99	96	3.2	2.2	Pre-arb
48	Tyler Glasnow LAD · ’93	105	2.4	2.3	Signed $30.0M
45	Slade Cecconi CLE · ’99	88	0.7	0.7	Arb
43	Chris Paddack TEX · ’96	85	0.1	0.4	Free agent
42	Gabriel Hughes COL · ’01	97	1.1	1.3	—

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 57%

51% zone

Curveball 33%

43% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.5 WAR Club option $14.0M

2028 1.2 WAR Player option $18.0M

2029 0.8 WAR Free agent

2030 0.5 WAR Free agent

His 2027 is a $14.0M club option, decided by San Diego ≈ Nov 1–5. The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026A	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	33	2	3.2 IP	3.2 IP · 7.36 ERA · 23.5% K · 5.9% BB
2026AAA	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	33	1	4.1 IP	4.1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 46.7% K · 6.7% BB