Seth Lugo
- Kansas City’s roster as it stands #5 starter · 111 IP · 0.8 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Concussion (Jun 12–Jun 19)
- Trade read Available at a price: KC 39% playoff odds; control through 2028.
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,858 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker20% use | 20% | 91.4 | 7.8 | +16.4 | 86 | 107 | 12% | −1.49 |
| Four-seam16% use | 16% | 91.7 | 15.3 | +8.9 | 90 | 102 | 15% | −0.90 |
| Cutter16% use | 16% | 89.8 | 11.9 | +0.4 | 93 | 105 | 24% | −0.31 |
| Curveball15% use | 15% | 77.3 | −13.0 | −16.1 | 98 | 101 | 22% | +0.24 |
| Sweeper11% use | 11% | 79.2 | −0.3 | −17.3 | 107 | 97 | 16% | −1.10 |
| Slider9% use | 9% | 84.3 | 1.0 | −5.0 | 95 | 107 | 23% | −0.30 |
| Changeup9% use | 9% | 85.1 | 3.0 | +15.7 | 78 | 99 | 16% | −0.92 |
| Slow curve2% use | 2% | 69.2 | −2.4 | −15.3 | 110 | 93 | 33% | +2.99 |
Changeup grades 78 with below-average expected results; his slow curve grades 110. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.
Four-seam grades 90 with below-average expected results; his slow curve grades 110. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.
Sinker grades 86 with below-average expected results; his slow curve grades 110. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.
Slider grades 95 with below-average expected results; his slow curve grades 110. Neither side has 60+ of each pitch. No mix change until it clears.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Lugo: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | Chris Bassitt BAL · ’89 | 93 | 1.0 | 0.6 | Free agent |
| 53 | JR Ritchie ATL · ’03 | 95 | −0.3 | 0.2 | — |
| 46 | Michael Soroka AZ · ’97 | 97 | 2.7 | 2.0 | Free agent |
| 45 | Landen Roupp SF · ’98 | 97 | 2.5 | 2.0 | Pre-arb |
| 42 | Michael McGreevy STL · ’00 | 79 | 1.9 | 1.8 | Pre-arb |
Chris Bassitt (similarity 53, 0.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant