Players / Player profile
CHC · SS

Dansby Swanson

Age 32 B/T R/R 6′0″, 190 lb USA MLB debut 2016
40-man
  • The Cubs’ roster as it stands starts at SS · 500 PA · 2.5 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left oblique strain (Aug 17–Sep 18)
  • Trade read Available at a price: CHC 44% playoff odds; control through 2029.
xwOBA .304 wOBA .325
2026 fWAR 3.4
Projected 2027 WAR 2.4 at 508 PA · 2.5 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 486 PA

xwOBA .304 xwOBA: .304, 28th percentile
Swing decisions +0.91 Swing decisions: +0.91, 85th percentile
Contact value −1.35 Contact value: −1.35, 8th percentile
Bat speed 71.5 Bat speed: 71.5, 43rd percentile
Squared-up / swing 23% Squared-up / swing: 23%, 55th percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 53rd percentile
EV90 103.4 EV90: 103.4, 38th percentile
Barrel % 7.3% Barrel %: 7.3%, 46th percentile
Chase % 26.4% Chase %: 26.4%, 71st percentile
Zone contact 80.0% Zone contact: 80.0%, 19th percentile
Strikeout % 23.7% Strikeout %: 23.7%, 38th percentile
Walk % 10.3% Walk %: 10.3%, 71st percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP140.330.27130%6%29%+0.19−1.28
RHP346.322.31821%12%26%+1.20−1.38
Attack angle
15.8° (54% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−4.6°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Fast-swing rate
9%
Pull-air %
20.2%
Hard-hit %
40.9%
Slash · wRC+
.213/.297/.397 · 93

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.6+0.3−4.3−1.2−1.5−2.3+0.4−2.5+0.7+1.4−1.1+0.8+4.4+0.9+1.4+0.7−2.1+1.3−2.1+0.9−0.5−0.2−0.7−2.3+1.5RHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+4.4 vs. league per 100; 2.3 standard errors on 131 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up over the middle (−2.5), but only 1.2 standard errors from average on 90 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,689 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Swanson: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
65Tyler O'Neill BAL · ’95.3070.50.5Signed $16.5M
63Mike Yastrzemski ATL · ’90.3090.60.4Signed $10.0M
63Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY · ’98.2963.53.2Free agent
61Austin Wells NYY · ’99.3031.72.2Arb
61Marcell Ozuna FA · ’90.304−1.00.2Free agent

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (similarity 63, 3.2 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
SS +7.8 +15.3
2B +8.3prior +7.8
3B +8.3prior +7.8
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026SS+16+12−0.5+11.54,565
2025SS+4+3+1.1+4.15,712
2024SS+17+13−0.8+12.35,345
2023SS+20+15+1.0+16.05,418

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at SS)
2025 · SS2026 · SS In (charging) +9+9Back −10Toward 3B line −1+8Toward 1B line −2−2vs. RHH 0+10vs. LHH +4+6

At SS in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among SSs)
Arm at SS 80.0 mph · 6th
Sprint speed 28.3 ft/s · 77th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS435+7.0
2025SS562+10.4
2024SS512+1.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.4 WAR Guaranteed $28.0M
2028 1.6 WAR Guaranteed $27.0M
2029 0.8 WAR Guaranteed $26.0M
2030 0.1 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 2/6 won · +0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.