Sandy Alcantara
- Free agent est. 3 yr × $16.4M ($12M–$25M) if his club option is declined · +1.0 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as rotation depth
1 caution
- His $21.0M club option for 2027 is expected to be declined (projected value below it); the decision comes about five days after the World Series.
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 3,293 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker26% use | 26% | 97.3 | 8.0 | +17.1 | 100 | 105 | 12% | +0.86 |
| Changeup21% use | 21% | 90.8 | 2.2 | +16.7 | 95 | 102 | 28% | +0.41 |
| Four-seam18% use | 18% | 97.5 | 13.4 | +12.6 | 80 | 99 | 21% | −1.00 |
| Cutter15% use | 15% | 90.0 | 5.9 | −1.3 | 101 | 95 | 24% | +1.36 |
| Sweeper9% use | 9% | 84.1 | 1.0 | −12.1 | 108 | 96 | 23% | +0.56 |
| Slider7% use | 7% | 85.0 | 3.2 | −4.6 | 110 | 107 | 26% | +1.92 |
| Curveball4% use | 4% | 82.8 | −2.8 | −4.3 | 94 | 85 | 18% | −0.04 |
Four-seam grades 80 and gets below-average expected results on 18% usage. Against righties, moving about 8 of every 100 pitches to the slider (110 Stuff), about 50% of his four-seams to them, is worth an estimated 1.0 runs per season, after a 50% haircut for diminishing returns. vs. righties: the slider is worth +1.8 runs per 100 pitches more, 2.5 standard errors (143 and 212 pitches; his own results against that side combined with Stuff and the league’s platoon split). His fastballs stay at 35%+.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Alcantara: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | Brandon Sproat MIL · ’00 | 94 | 0.1 | 0.7 | — |
| 55 | Walbert Ureña LAA · ’04 | 92 | 2.6 | 2.3 | Pre-arb |
| 54 | Michael King SD · ’95 | 94 | 2.6 | 2.1 | Player option $28.0M |
| 52 | Brayan Bello BOS · ’99 | 85 | 1.0 | 1.4 | Signed $8.7M |
| 45 | Randy Vásquez SD · ’98 | 95 | 1.4 | 1.2 | Pre-arb |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $21.0M club option, decided by Miami ≈ Nov 1–5. The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant