Players / Player profile
DET · CF

Matt Vierling

Age 30 B/T R/R 6′1″, 205 lb USA MLB debut 2021
40-man
  • Detroit’s roster as it stands part-time CF · 356 PA (CF 356) · 0.5 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Left adductor strain (since Jul 31)
  • Trade read Available at a price: DET 52% playoff odds; control through 2027.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −1.4 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.09 wins over 356 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.75 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .304 wOBA .266
2026 fWAR −0.4
Projected 2027 WAR 0.3 at 356 PA · 0.5 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

292 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .304 xwOBA: .304
Swing decisions −1.06 Swing decisions: −1.06
Contact value −0.22 Contact value: −0.22
Bat speed 70.9 Bat speed: 70.9
Squared-up / swing 27% Squared-up / swing: 27%
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%
EV90 103.0 EV90: 103.0
Barrel % 5.0% Barrel %: 5.0%
Chase % 32.4% Chase %: 32.4%
Zone contact 89.2% Zone contact: 89.2%
Strikeout % 16.8% Strikeout %: 16.8%
Walk % 6.5% Walk %: 6.5%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP119.347.34113%10%30%−0.85+0.66
RHP173.210.27920%4%34%−1.21−0.79
Attack angle
8.9° (59% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−1.6°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
7%
Pull-air %
10.8%
Hard-hit %
37.4%
Slash · wRC+
.207/.255/.335 · 61

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.5−0.4−2.0−0.1−0.9−0.9−2.4−2.4+2.0+0.9+0.5−0.4+0.5−1.4−1.2−0.40.0−1.0+0.1−0.7+0.6−0.6−1.4−1.9+1.9RHB

Does the most damage up and away (+2.0 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 40 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and in (−2.4), but only 1.0 standard errors from average on 48 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,026 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Vierling: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
70Vaughn Grissom LAA · ’01.3090.20.1—
65Luis Torrens NYM · ’96.2951.91.7Signed $5.8M
64Jonah Heim ATH · ’95.285−0.6−0.6Free agent
63Tommy Edman LAD · ’95.3061.31.0Signed $15.7M
63Bryson Stott PHI · ’97.3323.82.5Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF +1.8 +4.3
3B −0.7 −1.2
RF +4.5 −6.0
LF +1.9 −8.6
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20263B000.00.05
2026LF−2−2−0.1−2.1243
2026RF+1+1−0.2+0.8414
2026CF+3+3−0.8+2.31,927
20253B000.00.013
2025RF000.00.054
2025LF000.00.0193
2025CF00+0.1+0.1620
20241B000.00.06
2024LF00−0.2−0.2356
2024RF00−0.5−0.5996
20243B00−0.7−0.71,540
2024CF+1+1−0.8+0.21,715
2023CF−1−1+0.5−0.5899
2023LF00+0.5+0.5930
20233B+1+1+0.5+1.5970
2023RF00+1.0+1.01,823

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) +10Back 0−1Toward 3B line −10Toward 1B line 0+3vs. RHH 0+1vs. LHH 0+2
Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 79.8 mph · 4th
Sprint speed 28.3 ft/s · 77th
Reaction −1.0 ft · 16th
Burst −0.3 ft · 38th
Route +0.3 ft · 66th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★1714%
★★★★1425%
★★★5863%
★★121392%
★1111100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026CF206−1.9
2025CF77+1.4
2024RF98+3.0
2024CF204+3.0
20243B123−1.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.3 WAR Arbitration $3.3M*
2028 0.0 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.3 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.8 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AALakeland Flying Tigers2828 PA 8 PA · .167/.375/.167 · 0 HR · 25.0% K · 25.0% BB
2025AAAAAAToledo Mud Hens281769 PA 69 PA · .200/.304/.333 · 2 HR · 33.3% K · 11.6% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 1/2 won · −0.4 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.