Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Toronto’s roster as it stands starts at 1B · 561 PA · 2.4 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Concussion (Aug 15–Aug 22)
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: A franchise player: with TOR every season since at least 2022 (MLB debut 2019) and still a 2.4-WAR projection.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 605 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 154 | .356 | .373 | 14% | 13% | 27% | +0.69 | +1.67 |
| RHP | 451 | .297 | .316 | 13% | 7% | 32% | +0.02 | +0.06 |
- Attack angle
- 1.2° (31% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −3.9°
- Swing length
- 7.6 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 57%
- Pull-air %
- 11.3%
- Hard-hit %
- 44.3%
- Slash · wRC+
- .260/.332/.356 · 95
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and in (+2.7 vs. league per 100; 1.2 standard errors on 74 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest up and in (−3.2), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 77 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,973 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Guerrero: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | Yandy Díaz TB · ’91 | .347 | 2.5 | 1.1 | Vesting option $13.0M |
| 42 | Fernando Tatis Jr. SD · ’99 | .379 | 5.4 | 4.6 | Signed $25.7M |
| 42 | Bobby Witt Jr. KC · ’00 | .381 | 7.0 | 6.6 | Signed $19.7M |
| 34 | William Contreras MIL · ’97 | .334 | 3.0 | 3.0 | Club option $14.5M |
| 34 | Ketel Marte AZ · ’93 | .348 | 2.5 | 3.1 | Signed $12.0M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | +6 | +4 | +1.7 | +5.7 | 4,670 |
| 2025 | 1B | −2 | −2 | −0.1 | −2.1 | 4,787 |
| 2024 | 3B | +1 | 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 437 |
| 2024 | 1B | −9 | −7 | −0.9 | −7.9 | 4,378 |
| 2023 | 1B | −14 | −10 | −2.7 | −12.7 | 4,501 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1B | 318 | −2.0 |
| 2025 | 1B | 286 | +4.5 |
| 2024 | 1B | 263 | +1.1 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026A | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 27 | 1 | 3 PA | 3 PA · 1.000/1.000/2.000 · 0 HR · 0.0% K · 66.7% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant