Players / Player profile
NYM · LF

Juan Soto

Age 27 B/T L/L 6′1″, 224 lb Dominican Republic MLB debut 2018
40-man
  • The Mets’ roster as it stands starts at DH · 504 PA · 3.7 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left calf strain (Jul 25–Aug 29)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Full no-trade clause (public reporting): he decides.
xwOBA .417 wOBA .388
2026 fWAR 3.1
Projected 2027 WAR 3.9 at 513 PA · 3.7 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 467 PA

xwOBA .417 xwOBA: .417, 100th percentile
Swing decisions +1.36 Swing decisions: +1.36, 95th percentile
Contact value +3.60 Contact value: +3.60, 99th percentile
Bat speed 72.5 Bat speed: 72.5, 57th percentile
Squared-up / swing 32% Squared-up / swing: 32%, 98th percentile
Blasts / swing 14% Blasts / swing: 14%, 97th percentile
EV90 106.8 EV90: 106.8, 83rd percentile
Barrel % 14.0% Barrel %: 14.0%, 92nd percentile
Chase % 20.9% Chase %: 20.9%, 95th percentile
Zone contact 85.4% Zone contact: 85.4%, 56th percentile
Strikeout % 13.9% Strikeout %: 13.9%, 89th percentile
Walk % 13.5% Walk %: 13.5%, 96th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP165.344.36015%8%25%+1.21+1.73
RHP302.412.44814%16%19%+1.43+4.78
Attack angle
12.7° (68% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+0.2°
Swing length
7.1 ft
Fast-swing rate
27%
Pull-air %
18.4%
Hard-hit %
48.4%
Slash · wRC+
.275/.393/.515 · 147

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.5+0.9+4.3+3.3−0.4−0.2+4.9+4.2−2.8−2.0+0.4+0.1−0.30.0+1.8+1.2+6.3−3.0+0.8+1.5+2.0+1.2+0.4+3.5+0.9LHB

Does the most damage down and away (+6.3 vs. league per 100; 3.1 standard errors above average on 116 pitches).

Weakest down over the middle (−3.0), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 114 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,707 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Soto: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
46Lars Nootbaar AZ · ’97.3461.00.9Arb
44Trent Grisham NYY · ’96.3380.71.2Free agent
34Will Smith LAD · ’95.3891.72.2Signed $16.0M
32Ryan Jeffers MIN · ’97.3442.61.8Free agent
30Ben Rice NYY · ’99.3784.22.8Pre-arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −5.3 −12.8
LF −9.1 −16.6
1B −4.8prior −20.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF−3−3−2.5−5.52,481
2025RF−12−11−2.0−13.05,908
2024LF00+0.1+0.1250
2024RF−4−4+2.6−1.45,374
2023LF−7−6+1.8−4.25,712

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at LF)
2026 · LF In (charging) −2Back +1Toward 3B line −1Toward 1B line −1vs. RHH 0vs. LHH −3

At LF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 86.6 mph · 24th
Sprint speed 25.6 ft/s · 12th
Reaction −0.5 ft · 32nd
Burst −0.8 ft · 23rd
Route +0.5 ft · 78th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0180%
★★★★030%
★★★3475%
★★91275%
★1212100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026LF233−2.6
2025RF500−14.6
2024RF477−6.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 3.9 WAR Guaranteed $57.5M
2028 3.7 WAR Guaranteed $61.9M
2029 3.4 WAR Guaranteed $61.9M
2030 3.0 WAR Player option $46.0M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 56% 10/18 won · +0.5 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.