Players / Player profile
BOS · C

Adley Rutschman

Age 28 B/T S/R 6′1″, 230 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Boston’s roster as it stands starts at C · 416 PA · 2.6 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left wrist inflammation (Aug 3–Aug 11)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: BOS expects to contend (76% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
xwOBA .327 wOBA .330
2026 fWAR 3.0
Projected 2027 WAR 1.9 at 442 PA · 2.6 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 410 PA

xwOBA .327 xwOBA: .327, 58th percentile
Swing decisions −0.32 Swing decisions: −0.32, 32nd percentile
Contact value +1.16 Contact value: +1.16, 81st percentile
Bat speed 70.6 Bat speed: 70.6, 29th percentile
Squared-up / swing 28% Squared-up / swing: 28%, 86th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 62nd percentile
EV90 103.0 EV90: 103.0, 33rd percentile
Barrel % 7.0% Barrel %: 7.0%, 43rd percentile
Chase % 25.8% Chase %: 25.8%, 75th percentile
Zone contact 89.5% Zone contact: 89.5%, 83rd percentile
Strikeout % 16.6% Strikeout %: 16.6%, 78th percentile
Walk % 9.5% Walk %: 9.5%, 61st percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP143.293.31813%8%25%−0.59+0.50
RHP267.350.33218%10%26%−0.18+1.50
Attack angle
7.4° (46% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−2.8°
Swing length
6.9 ft
Fast-swing rate
11%
Pull-air %
19.3%
Hard-hit %
38.8%
Slash · wRC+
.242/.315/.426 · 107

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.1+1.7+5.1+0.5−0.5−0.4+0.2−1.8+6.20.0+0.5−2.5−4.8+2.0−0.1−1.3−2.3+6.5−0.9+0.6+0.2+1.1−1.3+2.0−0.5LHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+6.5 vs. league per 100; 2.9 standard errors on 62 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-middle (−4.8; 2.2 standard errors below average on 68 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,026 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Rutschman: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
67Bryson Stott PHI · ’97.3323.82.5Arb
66Carson Kelly CHC · ’94.3101.61.7Free agent
65Gabriel Moreno AZ · ’00.3655.44.0Arb
65Andrew Vaughn MIL · ’98.3291.30.6Arb
62Josh Jung TEX · ’98.3483.22.0Arb

Carson Kelly (similarity 66, 1.7 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
C +6.7 +19.2
1B −2.0prior −17.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
No MLB fielding yet.

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA)

No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 26.6 ft/s · 29th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.9 WAR Arbitration $16.1M*
2028 1.7 WAR Free agent
2029 1.3 WAR Free agent
2030 0.9 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAWorcester Red Sox2827 PA 7 PA · .200/.429/.400 · 0 HR · 14.3% K · 28.6% BB
2025AAAAAANorfolk Tides27834 PA 34 PA · .231/.382/.423 · 1 HR · 17.6% K · 20.6% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 29% 2/7 won · −0.4 runs
As catcher 68% 46/68 won · +0.9 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.