Players / Player profile
BOS · P

Erik Miller

Age 28 B/T L/L 6′5″, 269 lb USA MLB debut 2024
40-man
  • Boston’s roster as it stands late-inning relief · 52 IP · 0.4 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Low back strain (May 4–May 16)
  • Trade read Available at a price: BOS 76% playoff odds; control through 2029.
Keystone Stuff 115 92nd pct
2026 fWAR 0.6
Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 at 59 IP · 0.4 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 970 pitches

Keystone Stuff 115 Keystone Stuff: 115, 92nd percentile
Keystone Location 92 Keystone Location: 92, 25th percentile
Keystone Pitching 105 Keystone Pitching: 105, 75th percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.44 Run value (xRV): +0.44, 68th percentile
Strikeout % 32.6% Strikeout %: 32.6%, 96th percentile
Walk % 15.0% Walk %: 15.0%, 3rd percentile
Whiff % 34.7% Whiff %: 34.7%, 97th percentile
Chase % 27.2% Chase %: 27.2%, 15th percentile
Fastball velo 96.8 Fastball velo: 96.8, 84th percentile
Extension 6.6 ft Extension: 6.6 ft, 70th percentile
51.1 IP2.98 ERA3.26 FIP 39° arm5 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →SISL4SCH
LHP · arm angle 39° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Sinker49% use49%96.88.6+17.41159619%+0.60
Slider41% use41%85.6−0.7−4.111010253%+1.29
Four-seam6% use6%96.815.3+9.2714322%−4.02
Changeup4% use4%87.73.8+16.11046925%−4.07

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Miller: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
61Gregory Soto PIT · ’951101.30.8Free agent
48Grant Wolfram BAL · ’961041.20.7Pre-arb
40DL Hall MIL · ’981110.30.4Arb
37Tanner Scott LAD · ’941242.41.1Signed $20.0M
33Brock Burke CIN · ’961000.80.5Free agent

Gregory Soto (similarity 61, 0.8 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Sinker 48%
46% zone
Slider 39%
30% zone
Four-seam 7%
7% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Arbitration $1.6M*
2028 0.4 WAR Arbitration $2.2M*
2029 0.3 WAR Arbitration $2.3M*
2030 0.2 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AASan Jose Giants2811 IP 1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 50.0% K · 0.0% BB
2026AAAAAASacramento River Cats2811 IP 1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 25.0% K · 0.0% BB
2025AAAAAASacramento River Cats2743 IP 3 IP · 6.00 ERA · 29.4% K · 11.8% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As pitcher 0% 0/1 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.