Players / Player profile
PIT · P

Lake Bachar

Age 31 B/T R/R 6′2″, 219 lb USA MLB debut 2024
Pittsburgh org 40-man
  • Winter Plan call-up depth · 0.1 WAR in the role
Keystone Stuff 100 49th pct
2026 fWAR 0.5
Projected 2027 WAR 0.2 at 80 IP · 0.1 in his 2027 role

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · MLB

Fastball velo 94.3 mph Sep ’26 · 208 pitches Sep ’24 – Sep ’26
Stuff 99 Sep ’26 · 208 pitches Sep ’24 – Sep ’26
Location 84 Sep ’26 · 208 pitches Sep ’24 – Sep ’26
Whiff rate 36% Sep ’26 · 208 pitches Sep ’24 – Sep ’26
Zone rate 43% Sep ’26 · 208 pitches Sep ’24 – Sep ’26
Walk rate 10.2% Sep ’26 · 49 PA Sep ’24 – Sep ’26

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,448 pitches

Keystone Stuff 100 Keystone Stuff: 100, 49th percentile
Keystone Location 93 Keystone Location: 93, 29th percentile
Keystone Pitching 96 Keystone Pitching: 96, 38th percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.55 Run value (xRV): +0.55, 75th percentile
Strikeout % 26.0% Strikeout %: 26.0%, 75th percentile
Walk % 10.1% Walk %: 10.1%, 34th percentile
Whiff % 30.2% Whiff %: 30.2%, 84th percentile
Chase % 28.6% Chase %: 28.6%, 32nd percentile
Fastball velo 94.3 Fastball velo: 94.3, 48th percentile
Extension 5.9 ft Extension: 5.9 ft, 8th percentile
86.2 IP3.43 ERA4.32 FIP 40° arm2 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

Stuff landscape
−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSLCUSTFSSI
RHP · arm angle 40° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam30% use30%94.418.3+9.21029315%+0.33
Slider22% use22%89.83.3−0.89810441%+0.32
Curveball20% use20%86.4−7.1−2.310610240%+1.64
Sweeper16% use16%86.7−0.5−7.9989438%+0.15
Splitter7% use7%84.35.7+15.6927137%−0.48
Sinker4% use4%93.29.1+15.6828915%+1.26

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Bachar: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
45Tommy Nance MIN · ’91980.30.2Arb
43Braydon Fisher TOR · ’00870.00.4Pre-arb
42Pierce Johnson CIN · ’9199−0.10.0Free agent
41Tyler Kinley DET · ’91100−0.40.0Free agent
38Max Meyer MIA · ’99972.31.7Arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 33%
42% zone
Curveball 26%
39% zone
Slider 21%
42% zone
Sweeper 10%
48% zone
Splitter 8%
30% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.2 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*
2029 −0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*
2030 −0.3 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp3033 IP 3 IP · 3.00 ERA · 54.5% K · 9.1% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.