Jarren Duran
- Boston’s roster as it stands starts at CF · 562 PA · 2.8 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: BOS expects to contend (76% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 609 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 142 | .299 | .333 | 24% | 8% | 32% | −0.48 | +1.23 |
| RHP | 467 | .277 | .298 | 28% | 6% | 35% | −0.79 | −0.36 |
- Attack angle
- 5.9° (43% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −2.2°
- Swing length
- 7.6 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 46%
- Pull-air %
- 13.9%
- Hard-hit %
- 40.3%
- Slash · wRC+
- .207/.266/.361 · 69
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up and in (+3.3 vs. league per 100; 1.5 standard errors on 68 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-middle (−2.5), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 127 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,007 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Duran: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Konnor Griffin PIT · ’06 | .316 | 1.4 | 1.7 | Signed $3.3M |
| 69 | Dylan Crews WSH · ’02 | .318 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Pre-arb |
| 68 | Christian Walker HOU · ’91 | .304 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Signed $20.0M |
| 62 | Amed Rosario NYY · ’95 | .309 | −0.2 | 0.0 | Free agent |
| 61 | Max Muncy ATH · ’02 | .287 | −0.3 | −0.1 | — |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | 0 | 0 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 573 |
| 2026 | LF | +5 | +5 | −0.6 | +4.4 | 4,384 |
| 2025 | RF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14 |
| 2025 | CF | +1 | +1 | +0.5 | +1.5 | 814 |
| 2025 | LF | −5 | −5 | +3.0 | −1.9 | 4,926 |
| 2024 | LF | +3 | +3 | +0.9 | +3.9 | 2,644 |
| 2024 | CF | +7 | +6 | +1.2 | +7.2 | 3,395 |
| 2023 | LF | 0 | 0 | −0.3 | −0.3 | 725 |
| 2023 | CF | −1 | −1 | −1.0 | −2.0 | 2,375 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 2 | 26 | 8% |
| ★★★★ | 5 | 8 | 63% |
| ★★★ | 7 | 10 | 70% |
| ★★ | 14 | 16 | 88% |
| ★ | 18 | 18 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | 418 | −1.3 |
| 2026 | CF | 63 | −1.2 |
| 2025 | LF | 454 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | CF | 95 | +3.4 |
| 2024 | LF | 238 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | CF | 397 | +4.3 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant