Players / Player profile
CLE · P

Tim Herrin

Age 30 B/T L/L 6′6″, 230 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • Cleveland’s roster as it stands bullpen · 53 IP · 0.1 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left elbow contusion (Jul 9–Jul 24)
  • Trade read Available at a price: CLE 49% playoff odds; control through 2029.
Keystone Stuff 95 28th pct
2026 fWAR 0.2
Projected 2027 WAR 0.1 at 62 IP · 0.1 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 983 pitches

Keystone Stuff 95 Keystone Stuff: 95, 28th percentile
Keystone Location 85 Keystone Location: 85, 10th percentile
Keystone Pitching 89 Keystone Pitching: 89, 13th percentile
Run value (xRV) +0.35 Run value (xRV): +0.35, 64th percentile
Strikeout % 22.5% Strikeout %: 22.5%, 50th percentile
Walk % 11.7% Walk %: 11.7%, 19th percentile
Whiff % 30.6% Whiff %: 30.6%, 87th percentile
Chase % 32.1% Chase %: 32.1%, 67th percentile
Fastball velo 94.1 Fastball velo: 94.1, 44th percentile
Extension 6.4 ft Extension: 6.4 ft, 46th percentile
56.2 IP3.02 ERA4.09 FIP 34° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →CUSLSI4S
LHP · arm angle 34° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Curveball30% use30%80.2−3.4−11.31067636%+0.93
Slider25% use25%87.22.4+0.19310545%−0.50
Sinker24% use24%93.65.3+15.3959219%+0.81
Four-seam20% use20%94.712.0+7.1889217%+0.04
Weak pitch to watch

Slider grades 93 with below-average expected results; his curveball grades 106. The best case is against righties: the curveball is worth +0.7 runs per 100 pitches more, 0.9 standard errors (198 and 122 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (93.6 mph) plus the typical shape 19 pitchers with his slot (34°) throw: a changeup around 85.0 mph, −5.3″ rise, +21.2″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +20 against his four-seam, his weakest pitch that breaks the same way (+9 to +64 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 108 on his four-seam’s scale; the comps’ own changeups grade 95 at the median, so that sits above 95% of them. That would out-grade 100% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Herrin: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
41Gregory Soto PIT · ’951101.30.8Free agent
37Evan Sisk PIT · ’971130.40.4—
36Taylor Rogers MIN · ’901050.20.0Free agent
34Grant Wolfram BAL · ’961041.20.7Pre-arb
32Sean Newcomb CWS · ’931001.70.9Free agent

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Curveball 36%
32% zone
Four-seam 26%
52% zone
Slider 22%
30% zone
Sinker 15%
50% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.1M*
2028 0.0 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*
2029 −0.1 WAR Arbitration $1.5M*
2030 −0.2 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAkron RubberDucks2910.1 IP 0.1 IP · 81.00 ERA · 25.0% K · 50.0% BB
2026AAAAAAColumbus Clippers2911 IP 1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 100.0% K · 0.0% BB
2025AAAAAAColumbus Clippers2888 IP 8 IP · 3.38 ERA · 27.3% K · 6.1% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.