Players / Player profile
PIT · RF

Ronny Simon

Age 26 B/T S/R 5′8″, 196 lb Dominican Republic MLB debut 2025
Pittsburgh org 40-man
  • Winter Plan bench · 78 PA · 0.1 WAR in the role
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: +1.1 runs per 600 PA against an average park (+0.01 wins over 78 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.93 (×0.92 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
xwOBA .301 wOBA .292
2026 fWAR −0.1
Projected 2027 WAR −0.3 at 243 PA · 0.1 in his 2027 role

This winter

What the Winter Plan does with Simon: its decisions feed, the dated moves and the briefs

The plan keeps him: the bench · 78 PA · 0.1 WAR in the role.

Depends on Brandon Lowe’s answer (≈ Nov 11–15). If he accepts the qualifying offer, Brandon Lowe plays second and Isaac Paredes third, and Simon drops off the 26-man. Pittsburgh then projects 83.5 wins (80% range 71–96), 51% playoff odds.

Options left: 1 (Keystone’s estimate).

  • Qualifying offer: Brandon Lowedue ≈ Nov 1–5 · medium confidence

    Extend the $23.15M qualifying offer by ≈ Nov 5. Expect him to decline: his market estimate ($30.8M a year for 3 years) beats the offer by $7.6M a year, and 12 of 14 comparable deals cleared it (86%); at the low end of his range ($21.8M a year) he could accept. If he declines, take the pick (about $8.6M net of his bonus); second base then goes to Nick Gonzales. Don't re-sign him above $13.5M a year under today's rules; his market estimate is $30.8M.

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Trends · MLB

Bat speed 71.2 mph Sep ’26 · 34 PA Apr ’25 – Sep ’26
Chase rate 40% Sep ’26 · 34 PA Apr ’25 – Sep ’26
Zone contact 94% Sep ’26 · 34 PA Apr ’25 – Sep ’26
Exit velocity (avg) 84.7 mph Sep ’26 · 34 PA Apr ’25 – Sep ’26
xwOBA .288 Sep ’26 · 34 PA Apr ’25 – Sep ’26
Strikeout rate 21% Sep ’26 · 34 PA Apr ’25 – Sep ’26

Hitting · 2026

68 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .301 xwOBA: .301
Swing decisions −0.27 Swing decisions: −0.27
Contact value −0.12 Contact value: −0.12
Bat speed 71.7 Bat speed: 71.7
Squared-up / swing 20% Squared-up / swing: 20%
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%
EV90 104.6 EV90: 104.6
Barrel % 3.8% Barrel %: 3.8%
Chase % 40.0% Chase %: 40.0%
Zone contact 90.1% Zone contact: 90.1%
Strikeout % 16.2% Strikeout %: 16.2%
Walk % 5.9% Walk %: 5.9%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP24.322.38217%4%48%−0.40+2.59
RHP44.276.25816%7%35%−0.20−1.89
Attack angle
2.5° (38% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+1.0°
Swing length
7.2 ft
Fast-swing rate
21%
Pull-air %
17.0%
Hard-hit %
30.2%
Slash · wRC+
.254/.298/.349 · 77

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF −1.6 −9.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF000.00.013
2026RF00−0.5−0.5444
2025SS000.00.09
2025RF−1−1−0.1−1.1144
2025LF00−0.2−0.2220
20252B−5−4−0.3−4.3263

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2026 · RF In (charging) 0Back 0Toward 3B line +1Toward 1B line −1vs. RHH +1vs. LHH −1
Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 28.7 ft/s · 85th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★010%
★★★★11100%
★★★010%
★★00—
★22100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 −0.3 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $780K*
2028 −0.3 WAR Pre-arb (est.) $803K*
2029 −0.4 WAR Arbitration (est.) $1.2M*
2030 −0.6 WAR Arbitration (est.) $1.3M*

* Estimated: RosterResource has no contract row for him, so control through 2031 estimated from his MLB debut (2025-04-21): six years of service at the earliest; he isn’t in the contract data, and time in the minors would add seasons; pre-arbitration years at the minimum, arbitration years from Keystone’s arbitration model. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAIndianapolis Indians26115499 PA 499 PA · .334/.426/.472 · 7 HR · 17.0% K · 13.0% BB
2025AAAAAAIndianapolis Indians2569308 PA 308 PA · .297/.392/.452 · 8 HR · 16.6% K · 13.6% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 40% 2/5 won · +0.1 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.