Players / Player profile
BAL · 3B

Coby Mayo

Age 24 B/T R/R 6′5″, 225 lb USA MLB debut 2024
40-man
  • Baltimore’s roster as it stands starts at 1B · 451 PA · 1.0 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 25, about $35M of surplus value through 2031): a core piece.
xwOBA .336 wOBA .332
2026 fWAR 2.0
Projected 2027 WAR 1.3 at 456 PA · 1.0 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 454 PA

xwOBA .336 xwOBA: .336, 72nd percentile
Swing decisions −0.20 Swing decisions: −0.20, 38th percentile
Contact value +1.74 Contact value: +1.74, 89th percentile
Bat speed 75.8 Bat speed: 75.8, 92nd percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 12th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 68th percentile
EV90 109.2 EV90: 109.2, 97th percentile
Barrel % 13.5% Barrel %: 13.5%, 91st percentile
Chase % 31.3% Chase %: 31.3%, 39th percentile
Zone contact 83.4% Zone contact: 83.4%, 40th percentile
Strikeout % 30.4% Strikeout %: 30.4%, 8th percentile
Walk % 7.9% Walk %: 7.9%, 38th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP163.460.44025%9%28%+0.25+5.44
RHP291.261.27833%7%33%−0.44−0.26
Attack angle
14.5° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−16.3°
Swing length
7.4 ft
Fast-swing rate
54%
Pull-air %
27.5%
Hard-hit %
47.3%
Slash · wRC+
.228/.297/.461 · 112

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.1+1.8+0.8−2.0−1.1+1.4−2.1+2.3−0.6+1.1+0.9+0.9+4.9+0.9−2.1+1.9−3.4−0.2+0.8−1.1+0.7+2.2−0.8+0.9−1.5RHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+4.9 vs. league per 100; 2.4 standard errors on 117 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and in (−3.4), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 53 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,706 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Mayo: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
59Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC · ’02.37510.66.7Signed $10.8M
52Willson Contreras BOS · ’92.3754.01.9Signed $17.0M
52Riley Greene DET · ’00.3693.22.9Arb
50Shea Langeliers ATH · ’97.3522.32.4Arb
50Jake Burger TEX · ’96.3161.50.6Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −1.7 +0.8
2B −3.7prior −4.2
1B +1.5 −11.0
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B00−0.2−0.2492
20263B−2−1+0.1−0.92,443
20253B000.00.091
20251B−2−1−0.3−1.32,466
20241B000.00.084
20243B−2−20.0−2.0296

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B, his 2027 spot)
2025 · 1B In (charging) 0Back −1Toward 3B line −2Toward 1B line +1vs. RHH +1vs. LHH −3

At 1B in 2025, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 89.5 mph · 98th
Sprint speed 27.9 ft/s · 63rd
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B188−11.0
20251B130+0.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.3 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.4 WAR Arbitration $3.1M*
2029 1.4 WAR Arbitration $4.5M*
2030 1.3 WAR Arbitration $6.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAANorfolk Tides2345195 PA 195 PA · .226/.318/.452 · 8 HR · 27.2% K · 11.8% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 60% 12/20 won · +0.4 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.