Players / Player profile
TOR · P

Spencer Miles

Age 26 B/T L/R 6′3″, 180 lb USA MLB debut 2026
40-man FV 40 · #23 in org
  • Toronto’s roster as it stands bullpen · 64 IP · 1.0 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: TOR 46% playoff odds; control through 2031.
Keystone Stuff 97 36th pct
2026 fWAR 2.0
Projected 2027 WAR 1.3 at 78 IP · 1.0 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,502 pitches

Keystone Stuff 97 Keystone Stuff: 97, 36th percentile
Keystone Location 115 Keystone Location: 115, 97th percentile
Keystone Pitching 109 Keystone Pitching: 109, 84th percentile
Run value (xRV) +1.12 Run value (xRV): +1.12, 91st percentile
Strikeout % 24.0% Strikeout %: 24.0%, 62nd percentile
Walk % 6.4% Walk %: 6.4%, 85th percentile
Whiff % 18.8% Whiff %: 18.8%, 6th percentile
Chase % 27.4% Chase %: 27.4%, 17th percentile
Fastball velo 96.2 Fastball velo: 96.2, 77th percentile
Extension 6.7 ft Extension: 6.7 ft, 76th percentile
95.2 IP2.73 ERA2.65 FIP 37° arm2 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →SICUSL4S
RHP · arm angle 37° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Sinker45% use45%96.37.4+16.310011313%+1.03
Curveball25% use25%80.9−10.5−13.59710925%+0.97
Slider16% use16%87.3−0.8−3.910911018%+1.28
Four-seam14% use14%96.014.9+8.2789427%+1.54
Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (96.3 mph) plus the typical shape 19 pitchers with his slot (37°) throw: a splitter around 88.1 mph, −6.5″ rise, +19.8″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +47 against his four-seam, his weakest pitch that breaks the same way (+39 to +67 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 126 on his four-seam’s scale; the comps’ own splitters grade 103 at the median, so that sits above 100% of them. That would out-grade 100% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Miles: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
48Eduard Bazardo SEA · ’9594−0.50.0Arb
48Riley O'Brien STL · ’951070.30.2Pre-arb
41JR Ritchie ATL · ’0395−0.30.2—
39Nolan McLean NYM · ’011053.53.1Pre-arb
39Juan Mejia COL · ’00910.50.6—

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Sinker 42%
59% zone
Curveball 31%
42% zone
Four-seam 18%
40% zone
Slider 9%
39% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.3 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.3 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 1.3 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*
2030 1.3 WAR Arbitration $5.2M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.