Players / Player profile
LAA · 3B

Denzer Guzman

Age 22 B/T R/R 6′1″, 190 lb Dominican Republic MLB debut 2025
40-man FV 45 · #6 in org
  • The Angels’ roster as it stands part-time 3B · 356 PA (3B 356) · 0.2 WAR in the role
xwOBA .270 wOBA .275
2026 fWAR −0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 0.2 at 356 PA · 0.2 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 305 PA

xwOBA .270 xwOBA: .270, 2nd percentile
Swing decisions +0.08 Swing decisions: +0.08, 50th percentile
Contact value −1.77 Contact value: −1.77, 4th percentile
Bat speed 74.3 Bat speed: 74.3, 79th percentile
Squared-up / swing 17% Squared-up / swing: 17%, 8th percentile
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%, 29th percentile
EV90 103.6 EV90: 103.6, 41st percentile
Barrel % 4.8% Barrel %: 4.8%, 23rd percentile
Chase % 33.6% Chase %: 33.6%, 27th percentile
Zone contact 79.6% Zone contact: 79.6%, 16th percentile
Strikeout % 25.6% Strikeout %: 25.6%, 24th percentile
Walk % 5.6% Walk %: 5.6%, 12th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP107.293.28727%8%33%+0.38−1.63
RHP198.265.26125%4%34%−0.09−1.82
Attack angle
6.2° (41% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.0°
Swing length
8.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
41%
Pull-air %
17.9%
Hard-hit %
34.8%
Slash · wRC+
.219/.266/.336 · 68

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−1.2+0.5+0.8−0.7+0.8+0.2+0.7−1.5−2.0−1.9+0.7−4.2+1.2−0.1−1.0−0.1−2.2+1.1−1.1−0.4+0.3−0.1+0.8−1.6−0.8RHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+1.2 vs. league per 100; 0.5 standard errors on 62 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−4.2), but only 1.8 standard errors from average on 40 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,026 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Guzman: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
57Jonny DeLuca TB · ’98.2632.41.7Arb
51Oswald Peraza LAA · ’00.2720.40.0Arb
51Jasson Domínguez NYY · ’03.295−0.20.4—
51Daulton Varsho HOU · ’96.2830.81.6Free agent
48Ryan Kreidler MIN · ’97.2980.60.0—

Daulton Varsho (similarity 51, 1.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −0.7 +1.8
2B −2.7prior −3.2
SS −11.9 −7.4
1B +4.8prior −10.7
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026SS−1−10.0−1.046
20263B00−0.9−0.92,845
2025SS−5−40.0−4.0494

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 3B)
2026 · 3B In (charging) 0Back +1Toward 3B line 0Toward 1B line −2vs. RHH −1vs. LHH −1

At 3B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 3Bs)
Arm at 3B 84.9 mph · 72nd
Sprint speed 27.6 ft/s · 55th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20263B230+0.9
2025SS45−3.7

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.2 WAR —
2028 0.4 WAR —
2029 0.5 WAR —
2030 0.6 WAR —

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAASalt Lake Bees2258268 PA 268 PA · .336/.403/.571 · 12 HR · 17.9% K · 10.1% BB
2025AAAARocket City Trash Pandas2193386 PA 386 PA · .242/.334/.415 · 11 HR · 23.8% K · 10.6% BB
2025AAAAAASalt Lake Bees2136153 PA 153 PA · .262/.366/.454 · 6 HR · 29.4% K · 13.7% BB

FanGraphs: FV 45 · ETA 2026. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 25% 2/8 won · −0.5 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.