Players / Player profile
COL · CF

Cole Carrigg

Age 24 B/T S/R 6′2″, 204 lb USA MLB debut 2026
40-man FV 40+ · #7 in org
  • Colorado’s roster as it stands starts at CF · 385 PA · 1.7 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 25, about $59M of surplus value through 2032): a core piece.
xwOBA .316 wOBA .357
2026 fWAR 1.7
Projected 2027 WAR 1.6 at 386 PA · 1.7 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 369 PA

xwOBA .316 xwOBA: .316, 43rd percentile
Swing decisions −0.59 Swing decisions: −0.59, 23rd percentile
Contact value −0.10 Contact value: −0.10, 43rd percentile
Bat speed 73.2 Bat speed: 73.2, 65th percentile
Squared-up / swing 17% Squared-up / swing: 17%, 8th percentile
Blasts / swing 8% Blasts / swing: 8%, 46th percentile
EV90 103.3 EV90: 103.3, 36th percentile
Barrel % 6.5% Barrel %: 6.5%, 38th percentile
Chase % 36.3% Chase %: 36.3%, 17th percentile
Zone contact 85.2% Zone contact: 85.2%, 53rd percentile
Strikeout % 24.1% Strikeout %: 24.1%, 33rd percentile
Walk % 7.0% Walk %: 7.0%, 24th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP154.332.28327%3%46%−1.76+0.31
RHP215.375.34022%10%30%+0.22−0.37
Attack angle
12.0° (51% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−2.2°
Swing length
7.5 ft
Fast-swing rate
31%
Pull-air %
23.8%
Hard-hit %
37.6%
Slash · wRC+
.279/.341/.477 · 110

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−1.0+0.1+2.1−0.1+0.1+3.5−0.8+1.0−2.2−0.1+0.7−2.3+7.9−2.3+0.5+0.4+1.0+0.20.0+0.2−0.2+1.1+1.8−0.3+1.0LHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+7.9 vs. league per 100; 3.4 standard errors above average on 37 pitches).

Weakest middle-in (−2.3), but only 1.0 standard errors from average on 39 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 770 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Carrigg: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
65Daulton Varsho HOU · ’96.2830.81.6Free agent
63Logan O'Hoppe TEX · ’00.268−0.90.2Arb
62Henry Davis PIT · ’99.2980.60.2Arb
61Jeremy Peña HOU · ’97.3263.43.2Arb
61Connor Wong BOS · ’96.284−0.20.0Arb

Daulton Varsho (similarity 65, 1.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF −0.7 +1.8
SS −6.8 −2.3
LF +2.3prior −8.2
RF +2.3prior −8.2
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF000.00.020
2026SS00+0.2+0.2472
2026CF−3−2+1.1−0.92,858

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2026 · CF In (charging) +1Back 0Toward 3B line −1Toward 1B line −2vs. RHH −2vs. LHH 0

At CF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 96.9 mph · 99th
Sprint speed 28.7 ft/s · 85th
Reaction +0.3 ft · 61st
Burst +1.2 ft · 82nd
Route +0.3 ft · 66th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0160%
★★★★1520%
★★★6875%
★★182090%
★161794%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026CF387−2.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.6 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 1.7 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 1.7 WAR Pre-arb $828K*
2030 1.6 WAR Arbitration $3.4M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAAlbuquerque Isotopes2457257 PA 257 PA · .338/.414/.529 · 6 HR · 15.2% K · 10.5% BB
2025AAAAHartford Yard Goats23123537 PA 537 PA · .237/.316/.394 · 15 HR · 27.0% K · 8.4% BB

FanGraphs: FV 40+ · ETA 2027. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 44% 12/27 won · +1.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.