Nick Dombkowski
This winter
What the Winter Plan does with Dombkowski: its decisions feed, the dated moves and the briefs
Rule 5 eligible; the plan leaves him unprotected on Nov 17.
Rule 5 pick risk 0.21 (the plan’s ordering, not a probability); expected loss if exposed 0.01 WAR.
- Rule 5 protectiondue Nov 17 · medium confidence
Protect Termarr Johnson (2B, AAA, FV 45), Derek Diamond (SIRP, AAA, FV 40) and Keiner Delgado (SS, AA, FV 40) by Nov 17. Expose the rest; the most likely to be taken is Cy Nielson (AAA, risk 0.23; expected loss 0.03 long-term WAR, below the 0.06 that cutting Noah Murdock for a fourth spot would cost; the plan's rule protects at most three).
Development · trends & plan
Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.
Trends · Triple-A
Triple-A tracking · 2026 percentiles
vs. 548 Triple-A pitchers (500+ pitches) · 1,415 tracked pitches · the share he beats, so higher is better (fewer walks)
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Altoona Curve | 27 | 7 | 28 IP | 28 IP · 2.89 ERA · 29.0% K · 4.7% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 27 | 28 | 84 IP | 84 IP · 6.00 ERA · 20.2% K · 8.9% BB |
| 2025A+ | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 26 | 1 | 2 IP | 2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 25.0% K · 0.0% BB |
| 2025AA | AA | Altoona Curve | 26 | 5 | 11 IP | 11 IP · 2.45 ERA · 22.7% K · 9.1% BB |
| 2025AAA | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 26 | 26 | 71.1 IP | 71.1 IP · 5.68 ERA · 20.3% K · 9.4% BB |
Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 102 over his 2026 season (479 BF, mostly AAA), 0.8 years older than his level; trend +4.0 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: Org depth. MiLB Stuff 88 on 1,415 tracked AAA pitches. Prospects →