Mitch Jebb
This winter
What the Winter Plan does with Jebb: its decisions feed, the dated moves and the briefs
Rule 5 eligible; the plan leaves him unprotected on Nov 17.
Rule 5 pick risk 0.17 (the plan’s ordering, not a probability); expected loss if exposed 0.04 WAR.
- Rule 5 protectiondue Nov 17 · medium confidence
Protect Termarr Johnson (2B, AAA, FV 45), Derek Diamond (SIRP, AAA, FV 40) and Keiner Delgado (SS, AA, FV 40) by Nov 17. Expose the rest; the most likely to be taken is Cy Nielson (AAA, risk 0.23; expected loss 0.03 long-term WAR, below the 0.06 that cutting Noah Murdock for a fourth spot would cost; the plan's rule protects at most three).
Development · trends & plan
Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.
Plan for 2027
- 1 Approach medium ask Swing less at pitches out of the zone
He chases more often than 72% of Triple-A hitters (150+ PA): the 72nd percentile for chasing. The player page’s tracking bar ranks the other way (higher is better). The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Triple-A median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 24, he’s about 3 years younger than the typical Triple-A player, so the level median is a high bar.
Chase rate: 31% target 27% no plan ≈ 30% No one-season check: a lean. Telling this target from noise takes about 731 pitches out of the zone; he had 462 in 2026. Triple-A tracking
Each goal is checked when his sample can tell the target from noise: the 2027 All-Star break if it can by then, else season’s end or the sample it needs; if no single season can, it’s a lean. Coach card
Trends · Triple-A
Triple-A tracking · 2026 percentiles
vs. 461 Triple-A hitters (150+ PA) · 247 tracked PA · the share he beats, so higher is better (less chasing, fewer strikeouts)
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026A | A | Bradenton Marauders | 24 | 4 | 17 PA | 17 PA · .333/.353/.467 · 0 HR · 11.8% K · 5.9% BB |
| 2026AA | AA | Altoona Curve | 24 | 14 | 62 PA | 62 PA · .226/.339/.264 · 0 HR · 14.5% K · 14.5% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 24 | 55 | 250 PA | 250 PA · .286/.364/.475 · 8 HR · 16.0% K · 11.2% BB |
| 2026ROK | ROK | FCL Pirates | 24 | 3 | 12 PA | 12 PA · .182/.167/.364 · 0 HR · 25.0% K · 0.0% BB |
| 2025AA | AA | Altoona Curve | 23 | 122 | 513 PA | 513 PA · .265/.350/.317 · 0 HR · 10.9% K · 11.5% BB |
Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 104 over his 2026 season (341 PA, mostly AAA), 1.7 years younger than his level; trend +4.0 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: On track. Prospects →