Players / Player profile
LAA · P

Samy Natera Jr.

Age 26 B/T L/L 6′4″, 230 lb Mexico MLB debut 2026
40-man FV 40 · #21 in org
  • The Angels’ roster as it stands late-inning relief · 51 IP · 0.9 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left forearm inflammation (Sep 16–Sep 28)
  • Trade read Available at a price: LAA 11% playoff odds; control through 2032.
Keystone Stuff 116 93rd pct
2026 fWAR 1.1
Projected 2027 WAR 0.8 at 46 IP · 0.9 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 580 pitches

Keystone Stuff 116 Keystone Stuff: 116, 93rd percentile
Keystone Location 88 Keystone Location: 88, 15th percentile
Keystone Pitching 96 Keystone Pitching: 96, 37th percentile
Run value (xRV) +1.13 Run value (xRV): +1.13, 91st percentile
Strikeout % 36.6% Strikeout %: 36.6%, 99th percentile
Walk % 9.9% Walk %: 9.9%, 36th percentile
Whiff % 35.7% Whiff %: 35.7%, 98th percentile
Chase % 27.4% Chase %: 27.4%, 18th percentile
Fastball velo 94.9 Fastball velo: 94.9, 56th percentile
Extension 6.8 ft Extension: 6.8 ft, 81st percentile
31.2 IP3.13 ERA1.90 FIP 49° arm3 SV

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSL
LHP · arm angle 49° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam80% use80%94.919.5+5.01099531%+1.04
Slider19% use19%85.47.7−7.21208556%+1.55

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Natera: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
51Mason Montgomery PIT · ’001102.21.2Pre-arb
40Jacob Latz TEX · ’961132.21.1Arb
36Brent Headrick NYY · ’971012.11.2Pre-arb
30Aroldis Chapman BOS · ’881281.60.7Vesting option $13.0M
29Tanner Scott LAD · ’941242.41.1Signed $20.0M

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 81%
49% zone
Slider 18%
28% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.8 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 0.8 WAR Pre-arb $803K*
2029 0.8 WAR Pre-arb $828K*
2030 0.7 WAR Arbitration $2.2M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AARancho Cucamonga Quakes2622 IP 2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 14.3% K · 14.3% BB
2026AAAAAASalt Lake Bees262030 IP 30 IP · 3.00 ERA · 34.4% K · 14.1% BB
2025AAAARocket City Trash Pandas25410 PA 0 PA · .000/.000/.000 · 0 HR · — K · — BB
2025AAAARocket City Trash Pandas254147.2 IP 47.2 IP · 2.64 ERA · 33.7% K · 15.3% BB
2025AAAAAASalt Lake Bees2589.1 IP 9.1 IP · 3.86 ERA · 37.0% K · 23.9% BB

FanGraphs: FV 40 · ETA 2027. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.

Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.