PIT · AAA · 3B

Duce Gourson

Age 24 B/T L/R 5′11″, 204 lb USA

Pittsburgh org FV 45 · #13 in org

Development · trends & plan

Tracked levels only. Monthly values; gaps mark the offseason. The number beside each line is its last month, with that month’s sample (faded under 50 PA or 150 pitches), not the season.

Plan for 2027

1
Contact high ask Cut the strikeouts
He strikes out more often than 66% of Triple-A hitters (150+ PA): the 66th percentile for strikeouts. The player page’s tracking bar ranks the other way (higher is better). The target beats regression to the mean: it is his expected next season with no plan (a value this far from the Triple-A median tends to come back part of the way) plus the step a quarter of similar players beat. At 24, he’s about 3 years younger than the typical Triple-A player, so the level median is a high bar.
Strikeout rate: 25% target 21% no plan ≈ 24% No one-season check: a lean. Telling this target from noise takes about 464 plate appearances; he had 202 in 2026. Triple-A tracking

Each goal is checked when his sample can tell the target from noise: the 2027 All-Star break if it can by then, else season’s end or the sample it needs; if no single season can, it’s a lean. Coach card

Trends · Triple-A

Chase rate 26% Sep ’26 · 56 PA Jul ’26 – Sep ’26

Zone contact 82% Sep ’26 · 56 PA Jul ’26 – Sep ’26

Exit velocity (avg) 92.6 mph Sep ’26 · 56 PA Jul ’26 – Sep ’26

xwOBA .401 Sep ’26 · 56 PA Jul ’26 – Sep ’26

Strikeout rate 25% Sep ’26 · 56 PA Jul ’26 – Sep ’26

Triple-A tracking · 2026 percentiles

vs. 461 Triple-A hitters (150+ PA) · 202 tracked PA · the share he beats, so higher is better (less chasing, fewer strikeouts)

Exit velo (avg) 87.8

Zone contact 81%

Chase % 25%

Strikeout % 25.3%

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AA	AA	Altoona Curve	23	79	337 PA	337 PA · .227/.375/.357 · 7 HR · 24.6% K · 16.0% BB
2026AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	23	48	204 PA	204 PA · .277/.379/.457 · 6 HR · 25.0% K · 12.7% BB
2025A+	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	22	39	166 PA	166 PA · .261/.368/.449 · 5 HR · 16.9% K · 10.2% BB
2025AA	AA	Altoona Curve	22	56	226 PA	226 PA · .284/.372/.431 · 5 HR · 27.0% K · 10.2% BB

Prospect Pipeline: Perf+ 103 over his 2026 season (541 PA, mostly AA), 1.4 years younger than his level; trend −9.4 since 2025 (inside the year-to-year noise). Tag: On track. Prospects →

FanGraphs: FV 45 · ETA 2027. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks; where he has it, the development panel above shows it.