Luke Keaschall
- Minnesota’s roster as it stands starts at 2B · 522 PA · 3.2 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 24, control through 2031): the kind of player clubs build around.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 620 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 202 | .349 | .320 | 15% | 9% | 24% | +0.23 | −0.73 |
| RHP | 418 | .366 | .325 | 13% | 10% | 22% | +0.91 | −0.64 |
- Attack angle
- 10.6° (51% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −4.7°
- Swing length
- 6.7 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 8%
- Pull-air %
- 14.6%
- Hard-hit %
- 29.1%
- Slash · wRC+
- .282/.374/.407 · 123
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-away (+3.7 vs. league per 100; 2.0 standard errors on 149 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-middle (−2.4), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 163 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,077 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Keaschall: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | Wade Meckler LAA · ’00 | .318 | 2.0 | 1.8 | Pre-arb |
| 71 | Sam Antonacci CWS · ’03 | .347 | 2.3 | 2.0 | Pre-arb |
| 69 | Spencer Horwitz PIT · ’97 | .310 | 0.1 | 0.9 | Arb |
| 67 | Carson Kelly CHC · ’94 | .310 | 1.6 | 1.7 | Free agent |
| 64 | Caleb Durbin BOS · ’00 | .295 | 3.1 | 2.6 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | −4 | −4 | −0.3 | −4.3 | 918 |
| 2026 | RF | −1 | −1 | −0.7 | −1.7 | 1,925 |
| 2026 | 2B | −7 | −5 | −0.9 | −5.9 | 2,831 |
| 2025 | 2B | −2 | −1 | +0.6 | −0.4 | 1,581 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At 2B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−6 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among 2Bs)| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 1 | 16 | 6% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| ★★★ | 4 | 7 | 57% |
| ★★ | 12 | 18 | 67% |
| ★ | 18 | 19 | 95% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 189 | −1.2 |
| 2026 | CF | 104 | −2.1 |
| 2026 | 2B | 254 | −16.2 |
| 2025 | 2B | 138 | +3.9 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 22 | 28 | 118 PA | 118 PA · .263/.373/.337 · 1 HR · 14.4% K · 14.4% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant