Randal Grichuk
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $5.2M ($2M–$10M) · +0.4 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as a bench bat
1 caution
- Big walk year: 1.7 WAR in 2026 against a 0.5-WAR projection. With the walk year at his projection the model would price him at $3.9M a year, not $5.2M. Last winter's 27 deals after such seasons came in about 8% under the estimate on average (± 13%): no clear premium or discount beyond what the model already pays.
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.5 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.13 wins over 299 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.78 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026
278 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 176 | .431 | .380 | 22% | 5% | 36% | −0.57 | +3.34 |
| RHP | 102 | .267 | .255 | 23% | 0% | 37% | −1.01 | −0.96 |
- Attack angle
- 8.9° (62% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −6.6°
- Swing length
- 7.7 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 43%
- Pull-air %
- 21.4%
- Hard-hit %
- 50.0%
- Slash · wRC+
- .287/.314/.566 · 139
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down over the middle (+8.8 vs. league per 100; 3.9 standard errors above average on 65 pitches).
Weakest middle-middle (−3.9), but only 1.7 standard errors from average on 69 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 920 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Grichuk: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | Luis García Jr. NYY · ’00 | .340 | 2.6 | 1.9 | Arb |
| 58 | Casey Schmitt SF · ’99 | .353 | 1.9 | 1.4 | Arb |
| 54 | Ketel Marte AZ · ’93 | .348 | 2.5 | 3.1 | Signed $12.0M |
| 51 | Alec Burleson STL · ’98 | .375 | 3.2 | 1.9 | Arb |
| 48 | Michael Harris II ATL · ’01 | .344 | 4.5 | 2.7 | Signed $9.0M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | −2 | −2 | −0.1 | −2.1 | 212 |
| 2026 | LF | +2 | +2 | −0.4 | +1.6 | 1,053 |
| 2025 | CF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9 |
| 2025 | LF | 0 | 0 | −0.1 | −0.1 | 412 |
| 2025 | RF | −3 | −2 | −0.1 | −2.1 | 1,021 |
| 2024 | LF | 0 | 0 | −0.3 | −0.3 | 386 |
| 2024 | RF | −1 | −1 | −0.9 | −1.9 | 1,261 |
| 2023 | CF | −2 | −2 | +0.1 | −1.9 | 666 |
| 2023 | RF | −1 | −1 | +0.1 | −0.9 | 854 |
| 2023 | LF | −3 | −3 | +0.2 | −2.8 | 2,566 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 1 | 10 | 10% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 0 | — |
| ★★★ | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| ★★ | 9 | 10 | 90% |
| ★ | 5 | 6 | 83% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | LF | 113 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | RF | 80 | −0.7 |
| 2024 | RF | 138 | −4.3 |
| 2024 | LF | 41 | +3.0 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant