Players / Player profile
SF · LF

Casey Schmitt

Age 27 B/T R/R 6′0″, 215 lb USA MLB debut 2023
40-man
  • San Francisco’s roster as it stands starts at 2B · 435 PA · 1.8 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Left knee meniscus tear (since Jul 28)
  • Trade read Available at a price: SF 32% playoff odds; control through 2029.
  • PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.8 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.21 wins over 439 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Pulls 24% of his batted balls in the air, top quarter of right-handed hitters. Park Fit →
xwOBA .353 wOBA .333
2026 fWAR 1.9
Projected 2027 WAR 1.4 at 439 PA · 1.8 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 407 PA

xwOBA .353 xwOBA: .353, 88th percentile
Swing decisions −0.97 Swing decisions: −0.97, 11th percentile
Contact value +2.37 Contact value: +2.37, 95th percentile
Bat speed 72.5 Bat speed: 72.5, 56th percentile
Squared-up / swing 25% Squared-up / swing: 25%, 79th percentile
Blasts / swing 11% Blasts / swing: 11%, 85th percentile
EV90 104.7 EV90: 104.7, 59th percentile
Barrel % 12.3% Barrel %: 12.3%, 83rd percentile
Chase % 36.4% Chase %: 36.4%, 16th percentile
Zone contact 89.3% Zone contact: 89.3%, 82nd percentile
Strikeout % 19.9% Strikeout %: 19.9%, 59th percentile
Walk % 2.5% Walk %: 2.5%, 0th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP105.358.38815%1%41%−0.86+3.10
RHP302.324.34122%3%35%−1.00+2.08
Attack angle
9.7° (49% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−7.2°
Swing length
7.6 ft
Fast-swing rate
25%
Pull-air %
23.0%
Hard-hit %
44.8%
Slash · wRC+
.271/.301/.483 · 114

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.3−0.5−1.6−1.2−0.4−1.0+2.2+1.0+1.3−2.3−1.2+4.1+1.9+1.1+0.8−0.7+2.9+0.5+1.9−0.4−0.1+0.9−1.3−1.2−1.0RHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+4.1 vs. league per 100; 1.8 standard errors on 65 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down over the middle (+0.5), but only 0.2 standard errors from average on 77 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,323 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Schmitt: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
61Luis García Jr. NYY · ’00.3402.61.9Arb
58Randal Grichuk CWS · ’91.3351.70.5Free agent
57Dillon Dingler DET · ’98.3445.03.7Pre-arb
50Kody Clemens MIN · ’96.3392.51.5Arb
49Salvador Perez KC · ’90.317−1.1−0.3Signed $12.5M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
2B +0.1 +2.6
3B −0.2 +2.3
SS −8.5 −4.0
LF +0.6 −6.9
RF +3.1prior −7.4
1B +4.3 −11.2
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026SS000.00.0166
20262B+1+10.0+1.0219
20261B00−1.1−1.1486
20263B+3+2+0.1+2.1840
2026LF−2−2+0.1−1.91,023
2025SS000.00.036
20251B00+0.8+0.8494
20253B−1−1+0.2−0.8879
20252B−3−2+0.3−1.71,884
20243B00−0.2−0.2256
2024SS−4−3−0.2−3.2380
20242B+1+1−0.3+0.7476
20232B−2−1+0.5−0.5547
20233B+2+2+0.8+2.8987
2023SS−3−2+1.0−1.01,224

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 2B)
2024 · 2B2025 · 2B In (charging) +1−1Back −10Toward 3B line −1−3Toward 1B line −10vs. RHH −2−3vs. LHH −1−1

At 2B in 2025, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−3 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 2Bs)
Arm at 2B 80.4 mph · 83rd
Sprint speed 28.0 ft/s · 67th
Reaction −1.3 ft · 9th
Burst −2.4 ft · 3rd
Route +0.4 ft · 73rd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★080%
★★★★020%
★★★1250%
★★3560%
★33100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026LF109−3.7
20263B70+4.4
20253B64+3.6
20252B219−7.5
20242B47−1.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.4 WAR Arbitration $2.9M*
2028 1.2 WAR Arbitration $4.4M*
2029 0.9 WAR Arbitration $5.8M*
2030 0.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAASacramento River Cats26517 PA 17 PA · .154/.353/.154 · 0 HR · 11.8% K · 23.5% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 33% 4/12 won · −0.2 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.