Players / Player profile
PHI · 1B

Bryce Harper

Age 34 B/T L/R 6′1″, 210 lb USA MLB debut 2012
40-man
  • Philadelphia’s roster as it stands starts at 1B · 534 PA · 2.3 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Full no-trade clause (public reporting): he decides.
xwOBA .380 wOBA .380
2026 fWAR 3.3
Projected 2027 WAR 2.3 at 544 PA · 2.3 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 690 PA

xwOBA .380 xwOBA: .380, 97th percentile
Swing decisions +0.66 Swing decisions: +0.66, 75th percentile
Contact value +1.74 Contact value: +1.74, 88th percentile
Bat speed 74.1 Bat speed: 74.1, 76th percentile
Squared-up / swing 18% Squared-up / swing: 18%, 16th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 65th percentile
EV90 106.3 EV90: 106.3, 77th percentile
Barrel % 10.3% Barrel %: 10.3%, 70th percentile
Chase % 32.4% Chase %: 32.4%, 32nd percentile
Zone contact 80.7% Zone contact: 80.7%, 21st percentile
Strikeout % 21.4% Strikeout %: 21.4%, 51st percentile
Walk % 15.1% Walk %: 15.1%, 98th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP268.304.31426%14%34%+0.52+0.19
RHP422.428.42118%16%31%+0.75+2.87
Attack angle
12.2° (44% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−0.9°
Swing length
7.3 ft
Fast-swing rate
41%
Pull-air %
16.7%
Hard-hit %
42.9%
Slash · wRC+
.269/.380/.485 · 135

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.7+1.5+1.4+1.3−0.7−0.3+3.7−1.1−0.3+4.6−1.10.0+3.0−1.1−0.3+1.6+1.1+4.6+1.0−0.9+0.7−0.60.0−0.9+1.7LHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+4.6 vs. league per 100; 2.4 standard errors on 142 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−1.1), but only 0.5 standard errors from average on 91 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,434 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Harper: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
55Andrés Chaparro WSH · ’99.3421.00.5Pre-arb
54Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL · ’97.3661.82.2Club option $17.0M
53Bryce Eldridge SF · ’04.3591.81.8Pre-arb
52Brett Baty NYM · ’99.3221.11.5Arb
51Wilyer Abreu BOS · ’99.3483.32.9Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
1B −3.0 −15.5
RF −11.3 −18.8
LF −10.0prior −20.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF−4−4+0.1−3.91,519
20261B−5−4−5.8−9.83,962
20251B+1+1−1.4−0.44,746
20241B+8+6−2.2+3.85,179
20231B+3+2−1.8+0.31,276

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) +2+3Back 0−3Toward 3B line −4−7Toward 1B line +2−1vs. RHH +1−6vs. LHH 0−3

At 1B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−7 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)
Arm at 1B 85.6 mph · 98th
Sprint speed 27.2 ft/s · 46th
Reaction −0.6 ft · 29th
Burst −0.9 ft · 20th
Route −0.2 ft · 34th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★070%
★★★★010%
★★★010%
★★6967%
★66100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF123−6.5
20261B253−13.1
20251B269−2.5
20241B307+0.8

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.3 WAR Guaranteed $27.5M
2028 1.3 WAR Guaranteed $27.5M
2029 0.4 WAR Guaranteed $23.5M
2030 −0.4 WAR Guaranteed $23.5M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 45% 21/47 won · +1.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.