Wilyer Abreu
- Boston’s roster as it stands starts at RF · 571 PA · 3.0 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: BOS expects to contend (76% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 680 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 218 | .378 | .350 | 17% | 11% | 27% | +0.83 | +1.54 |
| RHP | 462 | .322 | .347 | 23% | 10% | 31% | +0.04 | +1.29 |
- Attack angle
- 8.1° (51% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- +0.6°
- Swing length
- 7.2 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 33%
- Pull-air %
- 18.1%
- Hard-hit %
- 43.6%
- Slash · wRC+
- .248/.327/.446 · 112
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up and in (+2.4 vs. league per 100; 1.1 standard errors on 82 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-middle (−2.6), but only 1.5 standard errors from average on 179 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,468 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Abreu: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Christian Walker HOU · ’91 | .304 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Signed $20.0M |
| 64 | Tim Tawa AZ · ’99 | .323 | 0.2 | 0.2 | Pre-arb |
| 64 | Joc Pederson TEX · ’92 | .344 | 1.4 | 0.4 | Free agent |
| 62 | Brandon Nimmo TEX · ’93 | .340 | 1.7 | 1.1 | Signed $20.5M |
| 62 | Corbin Carroll AZ · ’00 | .342 | 4.2 | 4.4 | Signed $12.6M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | +2 | +2 | +3.6 | +5.6 | 5,703 |
| 2025 | RF | +8 | +7 | +1.4 | +8.4 | 3,625 |
| 2024 | CF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 |
| 2024 | LF | 0 | 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 152 |
| 2024 | RF | +6 | +6 | +3.0 | +9.0 | 3,884 |
| 2023 | RF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 |
| 2023 | LF | +1 | 0 | +0.4 | +0.4 | 310 |
| 2023 | CF | −1 | −1 | +0.4 | −0.6 | 377 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 3 | 20 | 15% |
| ★★★★ | 3 | 4 | 75% |
| ★★★ | 7 | 12 | 58% |
| ★★ | 17 | 21 | 81% |
| ★ | 21 | 21 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 516 | +6.2 |
| 2025 | RF | 365 | +14.3 |
| 2024 | RF | 359 | +13.6 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 26 | 2 | 7 PA | 7 PA · .167/.286/.167 · 0 HR · 28.6% K · 14.3% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant