Players / Player profile
NYY · RF

Aaron Judge

Age 34 B/T R/R 6′7″, 282 lb USA MLB debut 2016
40-man
  • The Yankees’ roster as it stands starts at RF · 334 PA · 3.8 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 10-day IL: Right calf strain (since Sep 19)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: NYY expects to contend (61% playoff odds) and he’s a regular.
xwOBA .398 wOBA .381
2026 fWAR 2.0
Projected 2027 WAR 3.6 at 332 PA · 3.8 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

280 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .398 xwOBA: .398
Swing decisions +0.81 Swing decisions: +0.81
Contact value +3.18 Contact value: +3.18
Bat speed 76.1 Bat speed: 76.1
Squared-up / swing 19% Squared-up / swing: 19%
Blasts / swing 11% Blasts / swing: 11%
EV90 110.0 EV90: 110.0
Barrel % 20.9% Barrel %: 20.9%
Chase % 26.4% Chase %: 26.4%
Zone contact 78.0% Zone contact: 78.0%
Strikeout % 30.4% Strikeout %: 30.4%
Walk % 13.6% Walk %: 13.6%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP78.408.41428%19%24%+1.03+3.51
RHP202.370.39331%11%27%+0.72+3.05
Attack angle
12.4° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−5.6°
Swing length
8.1 ft
Fast-swing rate
58%
Pull-air %
17.6%
Hard-hit %
57.5%
Slash · wRC+
.240/.360/.510 · 140

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−1.3−0.4−0.7−0.7+1.4−0.8+3.2+1.3−0.3+2.0−1.4+7.4+4.9−0.30.0−0.9−1.4+2.2−1.4−1.5+0.3+1.7−1.3+1.0+0.9RHB

Does the most damage middle-in (+7.4 vs. league per 100; 3.3 standard errors above average on 54 pitches).

Weakest down and away (−1.4), but only 0.6 standard errors from average on 58 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,105 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Judge: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
50Shohei Ohtani LAD · ’94.3996.67.3Signed $70.0M
45Nick Kurtz ATH · ’03.3742.63.3Pre-arb
38Oneil Cruz PIT · ’98.3523.32.3Arb
37Jake Bauers MIL · ’95.3743.61.7Free agent
35Griffin Conine MIA · ’97.3681.81.3Pre-arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
RF +2.3 −5.2
CF −8.3 −8.8
LF −0.4prior −10.9
1B +2.8prior −12.7
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF−2−2+0.6−1.42,057
2025RF+4+4+2.3+6.33,448
2024LF−1−1+0.1−0.9169
2024RF+10+0.1+0.1276
2024CF−6−5+1.7−3.33,836
2023CF+1+1+0.3+1.3550
2023RF−3−3+1.1−1.91,853

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at RF)
2025 · RF2026 · RF In (charging) +4−2Back +1−1Toward 3B line −40Toward 1B line +30vs. RHH +2−1vs. LHH +30

At RF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among RFs)
Arm at RF 89.4 mph · 63rd
Sprint speed 26.7 ft/s · 32nd
Reaction +0.5 ft · 67th
Burst −0.4 ft · 34th
Route −1.2 ft · 9th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★070%
★★★★1333%
★★★020%
★★6786%
★66100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF185+2.9
2025RF324+8.9
2024CF449−7.7

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 3.6 WAR Guaranteed $40.0M
2028 2.7 WAR Guaranteed $40.0M
2029 1.9 WAR Guaranteed $40.0M
2030 1.2 WAR Guaranteed $40.0M

Contract Studio →

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 75% 6/8 won · +0.2 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.