Players / Player profile
ATH · 1B

Nick Kurtz

Age 23 B/T L/L 6′5″, 240 lb USA MLB debut 2025
40-man
  • The Athletics’ roster as it stands starts at 1B · 460 PA · 3.3 WAR in the role
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Strained right thumb (since Aug 4)
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 24, control through 2030): the kind of player clubs build around.
xwOBA .374 wOBA .389
2026 fWAR 2.6
Projected 2027 WAR 3.3 at 466 PA · 3.3 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 426 PA

xwOBA .374 xwOBA: .374, 94th percentile
Swing decisions +1.72 Swing decisions: +1.72, 99th percentile
Contact value +0.96 Contact value: +0.96, 75th percentile
Bat speed 78.3 Bat speed: 78.3, 99th percentile
Squared-up / swing 15% Squared-up / swing: 15%, 2nd percentile
Blasts / swing 12% Blasts / swing: 12%, 92nd percentile
EV90 110.1 EV90: 110.1, 98th percentile
Barrel % 18.0% Barrel %: 18.0%, 99th percentile
Chase % 23.4% Chase %: 23.4%, 86th percentile
Zone contact 73.0% Zone contact: 73.0%, 1st percentile
Strikeout % 32.9% Strikeout %: 32.9%, 2nd percentile
Walk % 16.4% Walk %: 16.4%, 100th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP157.329.28938%11%25%+0.78−0.58
RHP269.423.42330%19%22%+2.25+1.91
Attack angle
13.0° (50% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+4.0°
Swing length
7.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
73%
Pull-air %
14.2%
Hard-hit %
57.4%
Slash · wRC+
.256/.396/.483 · 138

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.4+1.9+0.3+2.50.0+1.1−2.9−1.0+0.8−2.1+0.4+2.4+2.9−1.2−1.1+0.4+0.4+4.6+4.1−0.7+0.8+0.7+1.8+0.8+0.9LHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+4.6 vs. league per 100; 2.3 standard errors on 112 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest up and away (−2.9), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 81 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,679 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Kurtz: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
45Aaron Judge NYY · ’92.3982.03.6Signed $40.0M
34Oneil Cruz PIT · ’98.3523.32.3Arb
29Jake Bauers MIL · ’95.3743.61.7Free agent
29Garrett Mitchell MIL · ’98.3563.12.5Arb
28Munetaka Murakami CWS · ’00.3512.92.2Signed $17.5M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
1B −1.2 −13.7
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B−3−2+3.0+1.03,646
20251B−6−4−0.2−4.24,144

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 1B)
2025 · 1B2026 · 1B In (charging) −1+4Back −40Toward 3B line 0−8Toward 1B line −1+1vs. RHH −4−2vs. LHH −2−1

At 1B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 3B line (−8 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 1Bs)
Arm at 1B 73.6 mph · 38th
Sprint speed 26.6 ft/s · 29th
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20261B206−4.3
20251B216+2.7

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 3.3 WAR Pre-arb $780K*
2028 3.5 WAR Arbitration $4.9M*
2029 3.6 WAR Arbitration $9.7M*
2030 3.6 WAR Arbitration $18.9M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAStockton Ports2214 PA 4 PA · .667/.750/1.667 · 1 HR · 0.0% K · 25.0% BB
2025AAAAAALas Vegas Aviators222097 PA 97 PA · .321/.385/.655 · 7 HR · 26.8% K · 10.3% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 82% 9/11 won · −0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.