NYM · P

Sean Manaea

Age 34 B/T R/L 6′5″, 245 lb USA MLB debut 2016

40-man

The Mets’ roster as it stands #4 starter · 116 IP · 0.6 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: NYM 63% playoff odds; control through 2027.

Keystone Stuff 110 83rd pct

2026 fWAR 1.0

Projected 2027 WAR 0.7 at 122 IP · 0.6 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,493 pitches

Keystone Stuff 110

Keystone Location 101

Keystone Pitching 107

Run value (xRV) −0.25

Strikeout % 22.1%

Walk % 6.7%

Whiff % 22.2%

Chase % 31.1%

Fastball velo 91.0

Extension 6.8 ft

150.2 IP4.78 ERA4.54 FIP 15° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

LHP · arm angle 15° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam39% use	39%	91.3	10.7	+13.2	99	109	24%	−0.15
Sweeper30% use	30%	75.8	1.4	−12.7	121	92	30%	+0.23
Sinker19% use	19%	90.3	4.3	+18.3	106	101	7%	−0.79
Cutter8% use	8%	84.7	6.7	−2.4	95	94	28%	−0.54
Changeup4% use	4%	84.1	1.7	+14.4	92	90	14%	−1.52

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Manaea: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
68	Jacob Lopez ATH · ’98	109	0.8	1.1	Pre-arb
56	Robert Gasser MIL · ’99	106	1.5	1.4	Pre-arb
55	Trevor Rogers BAL · ’97	106	4.0	3.3	Free agent
47	Noah Schultz CWS · ’03	105	0.3	0.7	—
40	Nick Lodolo CIN · ’98	102	−0.1	1.2	Arb

Trevor Rogers (similarity 55, 3.3 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 44%

53% zone

Sweeper 28%

39% zone

Sinker 14%

51% zone

Cutter 9%

49% zone

Changeup 6%

31% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.7 WAR Guaranteed $25.0M

2028 0.3 WAR Free agent

2029 0.0 WAR Free agent

2030 −0.3 WAR Free agent

Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025A+	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	33	3	6.2 IP	6.2 IP · 9.45 ERA · 21.1% K · 7.9% BB
2025AA	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	33	1	3 IP	3 IP · 6.00 ERA · 18.8% K · 6.3% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Syracuse Mets	33	2	9 IP	9 IP · 4.00 ERA · 35.3% K · 2.9% BB