Players / Player profile
CIN · P

Nick Lodolo

Age 28 B/T L/L 6′6″, 216 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Cincinnati’s roster as it stands #5 starter · 126 IP · 1.0 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Blister left index finger (Jul 12–Aug 11)
  • Trade read Likely available: CIN projects to miss the playoffs (16% odds) and he has 1 year of control left: a natural trade candidate.
Keystone Stuff 102 57th pct
2026 fWAR −0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 1.2 at 140 IP · 1.0 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,899 pitches

Keystone Stuff 102 Keystone Stuff: 102, 57th percentile
Keystone Location 98 Keystone Location: 98, 49th percentile
Keystone Pitching 97 Keystone Pitching: 97, 44th percentile
Run value (xRV) −1.38 Run value (xRV): −1.38, 3rd percentile
Strikeout % 17.1% Strikeout %: 17.1%, 13th percentile
Walk % 9.5% Walk %: 9.5%, 43rd percentile
Whiff % 21.5% Whiff %: 21.5%, 19th percentile
Chase % 28.6% Chase %: 28.6%, 32nd percentile
Fastball velo 93.7 Fastball velo: 93.7, 37th percentile
Extension 6.2 ft Extension: 6.2 ft, 26th percentile
108.2 IP4.97 ERA5.70 FIP 14° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

−20−20−10−100010102020← Glove sideArm side →Rise (IVB, in) →4SSICUCH
LHP · arm angle 14° · how to read
PitchUseVeloIVBHBStuffLocWhiffxRV/100
Four-seam27% use27%93.88.7+16.79910318%−0.60
Sinker26% use26%93.64.6+18.8981108%−2.59
Curveball24% use24%82.4−0.7−6.61087441%−1.77
Changeup23% use23%88.00.8+17.310110822%−0.55

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Lodolo: same hand, shape, slot and mix

SimilarityPlayerStuff’26 WAR’27 proj2027
53Noah Schultz CWS · ’031050.30.7—
41Trevor Rogers BAL · ’971064.03.3Free agent
41Jacob Lopez ATH · ’981090.81.1Pre-arb
40Matthew Boyd CHC · ’91971.61.3Free agent
40Sean Manaea NYM · ’921101.00.7Signed $25.0M

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 31%
41% zone
Changeup 29%
31% zone
Sinker 20%
61% zone
Curveball 20%
29% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.2 WAR Arbitration $5.9M*
2028 1.1 WAR Free agent
2029 0.9 WAR Free agent
2030 0.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AADaytona Tortugas2812.2 IP 2.2 IP · 0.00 ERA · 50.0% K · 0.0% BB
2026A+A+Dayton Dragons2815 IP 5 IP · 0.00 ERA · 41.2% K · 0.0% BB
2026AAAAAALouisville Bats2828.2 IP 8.2 IP · 5.19 ERA · 26.3% K · 10.5% BB
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.