Mauricio Dubón
- Free agent est. 2 yr × $14.4M ($6M–$28M) · +1.2 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as a bench bat
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −0.9 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.08 wins over 549 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.68 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 617 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 210 | .314 | .292 | 10% | 5% | 36% | −0.29 | −0.62 |
| RHP | 407 | .338 | .316 | 13% | 6% | 39% | −0.65 | +0.57 |
- Attack angle
- 4.0° (39% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- +0.9°
- Swing length
- 7.6 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 4%
- Pull-air %
- 13.9%
- Hard-hit %
- 29.4%
- Slash · wRC+
- .276/.321/.399 · 99
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-in (+1.7 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 94 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest up and in (−2.4), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 74 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,032 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Dubón: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | Jeff McNeil ATH · ’92 | .300 | 0.1 | 0.2 | Free agent |
| 56 | Josh Naylor SEA · ’97 | .312 | 0.6 | 1.3 | Signed $17.3M |
| 53 | Justin Crawford PHI · ’04 | .289 | 0.2 | 0.7 | Pre-arb |
| 52 | Ildemaro Vargas AZ · ’91 | .298 | 0.4 | −0.2 | Free agent |
| 51 | Javier Sanoja MIA · ’02 | .299 | 2.8 | 2.2 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 151 |
| 2026 | 3B | +1 | +1 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 190 |
| 2026 | CF | +1 | 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 522 |
| 2026 | SS | +6 | +5 | +0.2 | +5.2 | 1,912 |
| 2026 | LF | −1 | −1 | +0.3 | −0.7 | 2,823 |
| 2025 | 1B | 0 | 0 | +0.1 | +0.1 | 63 |
| 2025 | RF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75 |
| 2025 | CF | +1 | +1 | +0.2 | +1.2 | 370 |
| 2025 | 3B | +3 | +2 | +0.4 | +2.4 | 600 |
| 2025 | LF | 0 | 0 | +0.4 | +0.4 | 757 |
| 2025 | SS | +8 | +6 | +0.5 | +6.5 | 889 |
| 2025 | 2B | +8 | +6 | +0.8 | +6.8 | 1,285 |
| 2024 | SS | +2 | +1 | −0.1 | +0.9 | 137 |
| 2024 | 3B | 0 | 0 | −0.2 | −0.2 | 318 |
| 2024 | 1B | +1 | +1 | +0.2 | +1.2 | 366 |
| 2024 | RF | +1 | +1 | −0.2 | +0.8 | 378 |
| 2024 | 2B | +3 | +2 | −0.3 | +1.7 | 565 |
| 2024 | CF | +1 | +1 | −0.3 | +0.7 | 655 |
| 2024 | LF | +2 | +2 | −0.9 | +1.1 | 1,701 |
| 2023 | 3B | −1 | −1 | 0.0 | −1.0 | 10 |
| 2023 | 1B | 0 | 0 | −0.5 | −0.5 | 79 |
| 2023 | LF | 0 | 0 | +0.2 | +0.2 | 273 |
| 2023 | SS | 0 | 0 | +0.3 | +0.3 | 322 |
| 2023 | CF | +4 | +4 | +0.8 | +4.8 | 913 |
| 2023 | 2B | −1 | −1 | +2.2 | +1.2 | 2,568 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 2 | 9 | 22% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 0 | — |
| ★★★ | 7 | 11 | 64% |
| ★★ | 7 | 8 | 88% |
| ★ | 18 | 20 | 90% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SS | 179 | −0.5 |
| 2026 | LF | 270 | +0.7 |
| 2026 | CF | 44 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | SS | 88 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | LF | 69 | +3.5 |
| 2025 | 2B | 110 | +8.2 |
| 2024 | LF | 157 | +6.8 |
| 2024 | CF | 78 | −2.0 |
| 2024 | 2B | 59 | +7.6 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant