Justin Crawford
- Philadelphia’s roster as it stands bench · 128 PA · 0.2 WAR in the role
- Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young and cheap for years (age 23, about $30M of surplus value through 2031): a core piece.
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 465 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 66 | .281 | .298 | 20% | 6% | 41% | −1.32 | +0.25 |
| RHP | 399 | .315 | .287 | 17% | 6% | 37% | −0.85 | −1.49 |
- Attack angle
- 3.2° (39% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- +10.6°
- Swing length
- 7.0 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 5%
- Pull-air %
- 8.8%
- Hard-hit %
- 35.5%
- Slash · wRC+
- .264/.309/.353 · 80
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and in (+3.5 vs. league per 100; 1.7 standard errors on 93 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-away (−3.0), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 95 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,534 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Crawford: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | Ben Williamson TB · ’00 | .289 | 0.1 | 0.5 | — |
| 59 | Alika Williams ATH · ’99 | .250 | 1.1 | 0.8 | Pre-arb |
| 58 | Alejandro Osuna TEX · ’02 | .308 | −0.4 | 0.1 | — |
| 56 | Nathan Church STL · ’00 | .284 | 0.4 | 0.6 | Pre-arb |
| 54 | Luis Torrens NYM · ’96 | .295 | 1.9 | 1.7 | Signed $5.8M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | −2 | −2 | +0.2 | −1.8 | 4,723 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
At CF in 2026, the biggest loss came in (charging) (−2 outs): a coaching target.
Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0 | 16 | 0% |
| ★★★★ | 0 | 5 | 0% |
| ★★★ | 7 | 10 | 70% |
| ★★ | 11 | 14 | 79% |
| ★ | 24 | 25 | 96% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CF | 466 | −21.3 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 21 | 112 | 506 PA | 506 PA · .334/.411/.452 · 7 HR · 18.0% K · 11.5% BB |
FanGraphs: FV 45+ · ETA 2026. Public pitch tracking exists only at Triple-A and some Florida State League parks.
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant