Griffin Canning
- Free agent est. 1 yr × $3.2M ($2M–$8M) if his mutual option is declined · +0.1 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as call-up depth
1 caution
- Holds a $5.0M mutual option for 2027; one side almost always declines.
- Injured list 2026: Left Achilles surgery (Mar 25–May 3)
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,544 pitches
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changeup25% use | 25% | 90.3 | 0.8 | +15.7 | 98 | 101 | 24% | +0.16 |
| Four-seam24% use | 24% | 94.6 | 15.4 | +9.3 | 89 | 90 | 21% | −1.75 |
| Slider24% use | 24% | 88.0 | −3.4 | −0.9 | 105 | 101 | 37% | +0.56 |
| Sinker10% use | 10% | 93.8 | 8.0 | +16.4 | 90 | 84 | 5% | −2.58 |
| Knuckle curve9% use | 9% | 82.1 | −4.3 | −11.6 | 90 | 92 | 31% | −0.07 |
| Cutter6% use | 6% | 90.2 | 7.5 | −0.3 | 88 | 85 | 24% | −1.26 |
| Sweeper3% use | 3% | 86.3 | −0.7 | −9.6 | 101 | 95 | 30% | +1.01 |
Four-seam grades 89 with below-average expected results; his slider grades 105. The best case is against lefties: the slider is worth +1.2 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.5 standard errors (198 and 254 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Knuckle curve grades 90 with below-average expected results; his slider grades 105. The best case is against lefties: the slider is worth +0.8 runs per 100 pitches more, 1.0 standard errors (198 and 61 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Sinker grades 90 with below-average expected results; his slider grades 105. The best case is against righties: the slider is worth +0.1 runs per 100 pitches more, 0.2 standard errors (168 and 114 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Canning: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Grant Holmes ATL · ’96 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.9 | Pre-arb |
| 48 | Travis Adams MIN · ’00 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| 48 | Zebby Matthews MIN · ’00 | 92 | 0.7 | 1.1 | — |
| 46 | Colin Rea CHC · ’90 | 96 | 0.4 | 0.4 | Free agent |
| 45 | Max Scherzer TOR · ’84 | 97 | 0.3 | 0.1 | Free agent |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
His 2027 is a $5.0M mutual option, decided ≈ Nov 1–5 (either side can decline it). The Free-Agent Board expects it declined, so it prices him as a free agent. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AAA | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 30 | 5 | 15 IP | 15 IP · 3.60 ERA · 26.1% K · 17.4% BB |