Matt Chapman
- San Francisco’s roster as it stands starts at 3B · 385 PA · 1.9 WAR in the role
- Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Abdominal strain (since Jul 1)
- Trade read Available at a price: SF sits near the seller line (32% playoff odds, within a projected win of 30%); control through 2030.
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.2 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.15 wins over 387 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.79 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 349 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 93 | .345 | .325 | 22% | 15% | 19% | +1.83 | −1.73 |
| RHP | 256 | .314 | .276 | 24% | 9% | 29% | +0.28 | −1.60 |
- Attack angle
- 3.8° (43% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −2.0°
- Swing length
- 7.4 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 56%
- Pull-air %
- 14.5%
- Hard-hit %
- 36.2%
- Slash · wRC+
- .234/.324/.368 · 96
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage down and away (+2.0 vs. league per 100; 1.0 standard errors on 88 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and in (−5.0; 2.2 standard errors below average on 47 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,312 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Chapman: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | Ryan Vilade TB · ’99 | .333 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Pre-arb |
| 59 | Nathaniel Lowe CLE · ’95 | .338 | 0.5 | 0.4 | Free agent |
| 52 | Christian Walker HOU · ’91 | .304 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Signed $20.0M |
| 52 | Agustín Ramírez MIA · ’01 | .285 | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| 50 | Lawrence Butler ATH · ’00 | .327 | −0.1 | 1.3 | Signed $5.4M |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | +4 | +3 | +2.2 | +5.2 | 3,111 |
| 2025 | 3B | +5 | +3 | +0.7 | +3.7 | 4,735 |
| 2024 | 3B | +11 | +9 | +1.0 | +10.0 | 5,702 |
| 2023 | 3B | +5 | +4 | −0.3 | +3.7 | 5,097 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3B | 225 | +3.8 |
| 2025 | 3B | 365 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 3B | 448 | +3.6 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 32 | 1 | 4 PA | 4 PA · .000/.250/.000 · 0 HR · 25.0% K · 25.0% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant