Players / Player profile
PHI · CF

Derek Hill

Age 30 B/T R/R 6′0″, 206 lb USA MLB debut 2020
40-man
  • Philadelphia’s roster as it stands starts at CF · 325 PA · 0.9 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Available at a price: PHI 38% playoff odds; control through 2028.
xwOBA .296 wOBA .330
2026 fWAR 1.0
Projected 2027 WAR 0.8 at 323 PA · 0.9 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

216 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .296 xwOBA: .296
Swing decisions −0.51 Swing decisions: −0.51
Contact value −0.28 Contact value: −0.28
Bat speed 71.2 Bat speed: 71.2
Squared-up / swing 19% Squared-up / swing: 19%
Blasts / swing 6% Blasts / swing: 6%
EV90 103.0 EV90: 103.0
Barrel % 10.6% Barrel %: 10.6%
Chase % 34.7% Chase %: 34.7%
Zone contact 77.6% Zone contact: 77.6%
Strikeout % 31.9% Strikeout %: 31.9%
Walk % 6.0% Walk %: 6.0%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP138.337.28831%5%36%−0.60−0.47
RHP78.317.31033%8%33%−0.36+0.29
Attack angle
14.6° (47% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+6.0°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
16%
Pull-air %
18.1%
Hard-hit %
34.1%
Slash · wRC+
.241/.291/.442 · 99

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+1.5−0.8+1.5−0.8+0.5+0.2−2.1+2.1−1.5+0.6+1.2+2.0+2.1+0.4+1.1−1.9−2.3+2.9−3.7+1.4−1.9−2.8+3.9−0.9+0.1RHB

Does the most damage down over the middle (+2.9 vs. league per 100; 1.3 standard errors on 47 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and away (−3.7), but only 1.6 standard errors from average on 40 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 758 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Hill: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
62Daniel Schneemann CLE · ’97.2920.60.7Pre-arb
59Kerry Carpenter DET · ’97.298−0.60.7Arb
57Brenton Doyle CWS · ’98.248−0.30.7Arb
54Carlos Narváez BAL · ’98.267−0.60.8Pre-arb
53Paul Goldschmidt NYY · ’87.3111.60.0Free agent

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF +4.5 +7.0
LF +7.5 −3.0
RF +7.2 −3.3
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026LF000.00.0139
2026RF+1+1−0.1+0.9879
2026CF+1+1−0.1+0.91,148
2025CF+5+5+1.3+6.31,439
2024RF000.00.0165
2024LF+1+1−0.1+0.9497
2024CF00−0.2−0.2822
2023CF+2+2+0.2+2.2517

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) +1+1Back 00Toward 3B line +3+2Toward 1B line +10vs. RHH +30vs. LHH +3+2
Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 92.4 mph · 85th
Sprint speed 29.5 ft/s · 95th
Reaction +0.5 ft · 67th
Burst 0.0 ft · 47th
Route +0.1 ft · 52nd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★1714%
★★★★3475%
★★★3475%
★★131681%
★99100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF86+3.6
2026CF133−0.3
2025CF145+6.5
2024LF53−2.0
2024CF102−2.2

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.8 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*
2028 0.5 WAR Arbitration $3.7M*
2029 0.1 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.3 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp291247 PA 47 PA · .171/.277/.220 · 0 HR · 29.8% K · 10.6% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 29% 2/7 won · −0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.