Players / Player profile
ATL · LF

Lane Thomas

Age 31 B/T R/R 5′11″, 195 lb USA MLB debut 2019
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.4M ($1M–$6M)
  • Injured list Ended 2026 on the 10-day IL: Strained left intercostal muscle (since Sep 11)
xwOBA .312 wOBA .320
2026 fWAR 0.7
Projected 2027 WAR 0.2 Keystone Marcel+ at 401 PA

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 373 PA

xwOBA .312 xwOBA: .312, 39th percentile
Swing decisions +1.29 Swing decisions: +1.29, 93rd percentile
Contact value −0.83 Contact value: −0.83, 20th percentile
Bat speed 72.6 Bat speed: 72.6, 58th percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 44th percentile
Blasts / swing 9% Blasts / swing: 9%, 64th percentile
EV90 104.7 EV90: 104.7, 59th percentile
Barrel % 6.4% Barrel %: 6.4%, 37th percentile
Chase % 20.7% Chase %: 20.7%, 97th percentile
Zone contact 84.0% Zone contact: 84.0%, 45th percentile
Strikeout % 24.9% Strikeout %: 24.9%, 28th percentile
Walk % 11.8% Walk %: 11.8%, 86th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP165.365.34424%14%19%+1.50+0.09
RHP208.284.28626%10%22%+1.13−1.46
Attack angle
8.5° (60% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−2.7°
Swing length
6.9 ft
Fast-swing rate
24%
Pull-air %
21.4%
Hard-hit %
41.0%
Slash · wRC+
.224/.318/.383 · 96

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.6+1.3+1.4+3.4+1.8+0.2−1.6−0.2−0.60.0+0.3−5.1+1.1−1.8+0.6+0.5−2.1+0.3−1.9+1.5+0.8−0.1+0.6+0.4+2.0RHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+1.1 vs. league per 100; 0.5 standard errors on 98 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−5.1; 2.3 standard errors below average on 75 pitches). Pitchers should attack here.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,408 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Thomas: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
60Seiya Suzuki CHC · ’94.3414.62.6Free agent
60Dylan Beavers BAL · ’01.296−0.20.5Pre-arb
58Isaac Collins KC · ’97.2980.11.0Pre-arb
57Hunter Feduccia LAD · ’97.3150.50.1—
57Wyatt Langford TEX · ’01.3192.73.0Arb

Seiya Suzuki (similarity 60, 2.6 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar swing available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
CF −3.6 −1.1
LF −1.0 −11.5
RF −1.6 −12.1
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF+1+1+0.5+1.5521
2026LF−1−1+0.6−0.4677
2026CF−7−6+1.7−4.32,035
2025CF−2−2+1.1−0.91,242
2024CF−2−1+0.5−0.51,332
2024RF−7−6+1.1−4.93,141
2023CF00+0.2+0.2201
2023RF−4−4+4.7+0.75,687

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at CF)
2025 · CF2026 · CF In (charging) −1−3Back 0+1Toward 3B line 0−1Toward 1B line 0−4vs. RHH 0−5vs. LHH −1−2

At CF in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−4 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among CFs)
Arm at CF 91.6 mph · 81st
Sprint speed 29.1 ft/s · 92nd
Reaction −1.8 ft · 3rd
Burst −0.8 ft · 23rd
Route +0.8 ft · 92nd
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★0100%
★★★★020%
★★★4757%
★★121963%
★131587%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026RF45−0.3
2026LF65−1.1
2026CF252−8.5
2025CF148+0.9
2024RF318−9.7
2024CF148+1.5

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.2 WAR Free agent
2028 −0.2 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.6 WAR Free agent
2030 −1.1 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAkron RubberDucks29310 PA 10 PA · .000/.200/.000 · 0 HR · 40.0% K · 10.0% BB
2025AAAAAAColumbus Clippers29727 PA 27 PA · .333/.370/.667 · 2 HR · 22.2% K · 7.4% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 4/8 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.