Seiya Suzuki
- Free agent est. 4 yr × $31.3M ($22M–$48M) · +2.5 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as its RF starter
1 caution
- Likely to receive a qualifying offer (an estimate until offers are made, about Nov 1–5). Signing him would cost Pittsburgh a draft pick worth about $5.8M ($4.0–9.3M) net of its bonus, under the current CBA.
- Injured list 2026: Right knee sprain (Mar 25–Apr 10)
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −2.8 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.28 wins over 582 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.78 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Pulls 22% of his batted balls in the air, top quarter of right-handed hitters. Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 625 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 165 | .428 | .389 | 19% | 16% | 18% | +1.80 | +1.79 |
| RHP | 460 | .358 | .324 | 26% | 11% | 24% | +0.76 | +0.70 |
- Attack angle
- 8.6° (48% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −4.7°
- Swing length
- 7.2 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 33%
- Pull-air %
- 20.5%
- Hard-hit %
- 39.1%
- Slash · wRC+
- .270/.367/.473 · 134
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage middle-middle (+4.7 vs. league per 100; 2.7 standard errors on 195 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest middle-away (−2.3), but only 1.2 standard errors from average on 145 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,457 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Suzuki: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Bryan Reynolds PIT · ’95 | .355 | 2.9 | 1.2 | Signed $15.3M |
| 62 | Tyler Soderstrom ATH · ’01 | .329 | 1.5 | 1.9 | Signed $6.4M |
| 62 | Curtis Mead BOS · ’00 | .361 | 1.5 | 0.9 | Pre-arb |
| 60 | Lane Thomas ATL · ’95 | .312 | 0.7 | 0.2 | Free agent |
| 59 | Carter Jensen KC · ’03 | .319 | 3.7 | 3.3 | Pre-arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | +5 | +5 | +3.7 | +8.7 | 4,097 |
| 2025 | CF | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42 |
| 2025 | LF | 0 | 0 | −0.2 | −0.2 | 520 |
| 2025 | RF | 0 | 0 | −0.5 | −0.5 | 1,126 |
| 2024 | RF | −3 | −3 | +0.6 | −2.4 | 2,630 |
| 2023 | RF | +1 | +1 | −3.5 | −2.5 | 4,866 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Play | Made | Chances | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 3 | 19 | 16% |
| ★★★★ | 5 | 7 | 71% |
| ★★★ | 6 | 9 | 67% |
| ★★ | 18 | 21 | 86% |
| ★ | 20 | 20 | 100% |
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | RF | 397 | +7.8 |
| 2025 | RF | 116 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | LF | 58 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | RF | 278 | −7.0 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026AA | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 31 | 5 | 17 PA | 17 PA · .429/.471/.571 · 0 HR · 17.6% K · 11.8% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant