WSH · P

Jake Irvin

Age 29 B/T R/R 6′6″, 234 lb USA MLB debut 2023

40-man

Washington’s roster as it stands bullpen · 85 IP · 0.2 WAR in the role
Injured list 2026: Right shoulder strain (May 24–Jul 30)
Trade read Likely available: WSH projects to miss the playoffs (22% odds) and he’s a veteran (age 30 in 2027): a natural trade candidate.

Keystone Stuff 98 44th pct

2026 fWAR 0.5

Projected 2027 WAR 0.4 at 141 IP · 0.2 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,939 pitches

Keystone Stuff 98

Keystone Location 103

Keystone Pitching 94

Run value (xRV) −0.79

Strikeout % 23.4%

Walk % 10.2%

Whiff % 24.0%

Chase % 25.0%

Fastball velo 92.8

Extension 7.1 ft

106.2 IP5.48 ERA5.08 FIP 27° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 27° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam32% use	32%	93.2	14.0	+9.4	99	99	24%	−1.31
Curveball23% use	23%	77.7	−2.5	−15.7	104	102	34%	+0.60
Sinker19% use	19%	92.1	7.5	+15.7	92	110	14%	−1.81
Cutter10% use	10%	89.6	10.1	−1.1	97	101	16%	−1.04
Sweeper9% use	9%	81.9	5.5	−10.7	110	103	26%	+0.10
Changeup8% use	8%	86.0	4.0	+16.2	91	91	29%	−0.93

Weak pitch to watch

Sinker grades 92 with below-average expected results; his sweeper grades 110. The best case is against righties: the sweeper is worth +0.6 runs per 100 pitches more, 0.7 standard errors (129 and 254 pitches), short of the 2 needed. No mix change until it clears.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Irvin: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
60	Aaron Nola PHI · ’93	101	1.3	1.0	Signed $24.6M
58	Joe Ryan MIN · ’96	112	2.5	2.4	Free agent
58	Will Warren NYY · ’99	102	2.2	2.0	Pre-arb
55	Michael Soroka AZ · ’97	97	2.7	2.0	Free agent
55	Spencer Arrighetti TOR · ’00	109	−0.2	0.4	Arb

Joe Ryan (similarity 58, 2.4 WAR projected for 2027), Michael Soroka (similarity 55, 2.0 WAR projected for 2027) are free agents this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 34%

55% zone

Curveball 29%

42% zone

Changeup 13%

38% zone

Cutter 11%

51% zone

Sinker 10%

45% zone

Sweeper 4%

53% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.4 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*

2028 0.2 WAR Arbitration $3.3M*

2029 0.0 WAR Arbitration $3.3M*

2030 −0.3 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AA	AA	Harrisburg Senators	29	2	8.1 IP	8.1 IP · 0.00 ERA · 31.0% K · 3.4% BB
2026ROK	ROK	FCL Nationals	29	1	3 IP	3 IP · 0.00 ERA · 27.3% K · 0.0% BB