CLE · P

Gavin Williams

Age 27 B/T L/R 6′6″, 250 lb USA MLB debut 2023

40-man

Cleveland’s roster as it stands #2 starter · 146 IP · 2.1 WAR in the role
Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 27, control through 2029): the kind of player clubs build around.

Keystone Stuff 107 77th pct

2026 fWAR 3.5

Projected 2027 WAR 2.6 at 179 IP · 2.1 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,960 pitches

Keystone Stuff 107

Keystone Location 102

Keystone Pitching 110

Run value (xRV) +0.39

Strikeout % 33.2%

Walk % 8.2%

Whiff % 32.8%

Chase % 33.6%

Fastball velo 97.4

Extension 7.0 ft

184.1 IP3.76 ERA3.47 FIP 33° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 33° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Sweeper29% use	29%	87.5	−0.9	−11.3	118	93	44%	+1.58
Four-seam27% use	27%	97.6	14.5	+10.6	101	102	32%	+0.36
Knuckle curve22% use	22%	82.6	−14.3	−10.5	98	103	31%	+0.19
Sinker16% use	16%	97.0	9.2	+15.5	102	111	16%	−0.86
Cutter6% use	6%	92.4	6.4	+1.4	88	101	25%	−1.15

Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (97.6 mph) plus the typical shape 24 pitchers with his slot (33°) throw: a slider around 88.6 mph, 3.4″ rise, −5.6″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +17 against his knuckle curve, the pitch with the same job (+14 to +26 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 115 on his knuckle curve’s scale; the comps’ own sliders grade 107 at the median, so that sits above 96% of them. That would out-grade 96% of the comps’ real pitches, more likely a result of how the pitch was built than of the pitch, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Williams: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
58	Shohei Ohtani LAD · ’94	114	6.6	7.3	Signed $70.0M
56	Jacob deGrom TEX · ’88	110	4.3	1.6	Signed $37.0M
56	Jared Jones PIT · ’01	106	2.6	2.4	Arb
52	George Kirby SEA · ’98	101	2.5	2.6	Arb
45	Braxton Ashcraft PIT · ’99	102	3.5	3.0	Pre-arb

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 31%

45% zone

Knuckle curve 27%

39% zone

Sweeper 24%

43% zone

Sinker 11%

60% zone

Cutter 8%

50% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.6 WAR Arbitration $4.4M*

2028 2.6 WAR Arbitration $8.3M*

2029 2.5 WAR Arbitration $13.3M*

2030 2.4 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →