Players / Player profile
TOR · 2B

Josh Smith

Age 29 B/T L/R 5′9″, 172 lb USA MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • Toronto’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 377 PA · 1.2 WAR in the role
  • Injured list 2026: Left hamstring inflammation (Aug 21–Sep 1)
  • Trade read Available at a price: TOR 46% playoff odds; control through 2028.
xwOBA .279 wOBA .289
2026 fWAR 0.1
Projected 2027 WAR 1.0 at 378 PA · 1.2 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026

240 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .279 xwOBA: .279
Swing decisions −0.32 Swing decisions: −0.32
Contact value −1.27 Contact value: −1.27
Bat speed 68.7 Bat speed: 68.7
Squared-up / swing 20% Squared-up / swing: 20%
Blasts / swing 4% Blasts / swing: 4%
EV90 101.5 EV90: 101.5
Barrel % 6.3% Barrel %: 6.3%
Chase % 34.2% Chase %: 34.2%
Zone contact 88.1% Zone contact: 88.1%
Strikeout % 22.5% Strikeout %: 22.5%
Walk % 10.0% Walk %: 10.0%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP33.127.16936%3%47%−2.31−3.60
RHP207.312.29520%11%32%−0.05−0.96
Attack angle
12.7° (44% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−6.9°
Swing length
7.0 ft
Fast-swing rate
3%
Pull-air %
17.0%
Hard-hit %
30.4%
Slash · wRC+
.203/.290/.321 · 75

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+0.2+0.8−0.5−1.3−1.5+0.1−0.3−3.2+1.3+0.8+0.5−2.8+1.8−4.0−0.8+0.1−1.1−1.9−1.2−0.9−1.1+1.4+1.60.0−0.5LHB

Does the most damage middle-middle (+1.8 vs. league per 100; 0.8 standard errors on 46 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest middle-in (−4.0), but only 1.7 standard errors from average on 38 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 889 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Smith: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
65Matt Shaw CHC · ’01.3060.71.2Pre-arb
62Drew Romo CWS · ’01.2630.10.2—
61Travis Bazzana CLE · ’02.3002.82.4Pre-arb
58Ryan O'Hearn PIT · ’93.3130.61.0Signed $15.0M
58Miguel Amaya CHC · ’99.2991.41.3Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
3B −0.5 +2.0
SS −6.4 +1.1
2B −3.2 −0.7
LF +2.2 −8.3
1B +4.8 −10.7
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
20261B000.00.036
2026LF00−0.1−0.1336
20263B−10−0.1−0.1450
20262B−2−1−0.5−1.51,436
2025CF000.00.052
20252B+100.00.088
2025RF−1−1+0.1−0.9214
2025LF00+0.1+0.1270
20251B−10+0.6+0.6882
20253B−2−1+0.3−0.71,011
2025SS−2−2+0.6−1.41,767
2024LF000.00.0162
2024SS−1−10.0−1.01,671
20243B00+0.1+0.12,752
20232B000.00.051
2023LF−1−1+0.2−0.8426
2023SS−3−2+0.3−1.7742
20233B00+0.3+0.3821

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at SS, his 2027 spot)
2025 · SS In (charging) +1Back +1Toward 3B line 0Toward 1B line −7vs. RHH −5vs. LHH −1

At SS in 2025, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−7 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength 77.1 mph · 10th
Sprint speed 27.9 ft/s · 63rd
Reaction −0.9 ft · 28th
Burst −0.4 ft · 46th
Route +0.4 ft · 76th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★020%
★★★★00—
★★★00—
★★22100%
★11100%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
20262B127−2.4
2025SS157−4.4
20253B74−1.8
20251B55−0.9
2024SS150+0.4
20243B217+2.3

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 1.0 WAR Arbitration $3.5M*
2028 0.7 WAR Arbitration $5.4M*
2029 0.4 WAR Free agent
2030 0.1 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAFrisco RoughRiders2827 PA 7 PA · .500/.714/1.250 · 1 HR · 14.3% K · 28.6% BB
2026AAAAAABuffalo Bisons2826124 PA 124 PA · .204/.315/.311 · 2 HR · 16.1% K · 11.3% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 38% 3/8 won · 0.0 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.