Players / Player profile
TEX · 2B

Nicky Lopez

Age 31 B/T L/R 5′10″, 186 lb USA MLB debut 2019
40-man
  • Free agent est. 1 yr × $2.9M ($2M–$7M) · 0.0 wins to Pittsburgh’s Winter Plan as call-up depth
xwOBA .281 wOBA .304
2026 fWAR 0.7
Projected 2027 WAR 0.3 Keystone Marcel+ at 338 PA

Hitting · 2026

271 PA: percentiles need 300+, so values only

xwOBA .281 xwOBA: .281
Swing decisions −0.24 Swing decisions: −0.24
Contact value −1.76 Contact value: −1.76
Bat speed 66.0 Bat speed: 66.0
Squared-up / swing 25% Squared-up / swing: 25%
Blasts / swing 1% Blasts / swing: 1%
EV90 97.9 EV90: 97.9
Barrel % 0.0% Barrel %: 0.0%
Chase % 34.1% Chase %: 34.1%
Zone contact 86.7% Zone contact: 86.7%
Strikeout % 16.2% Strikeout %: 16.2%
Walk % 4.1% Walk %: 4.1%

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP59.245.25415%2%36%−0.47−1.67
RHP212.319.28917%5%34%−0.17−1.81
Attack angle
7.7° (58% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
+9.8°
Swing length
6.8 ft
Fast-swing rate
1%
Pull-air %
7.2%
Hard-hit %
22.3%
Slash · wRC+
.270/.322/.312 · 83

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

−0.1+0.6+0.6−1.2+0.3−0.2−1.3−1.9+3.2+0.3−0.2−2.0−2.5−0.3−1.4+0.2−1.4+1.8−3.0+0.5−0.8+1.8−1.3−2.3−0.8LHB

Does the most damage up and in (+3.2 vs. league per 100; 1.4 standard errors on 31 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and in (−3.0), but only 1.3 standard errors from average on 43 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 916 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Lopez: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
54Christian Vázquez HOU · ’90.2370.1−0.2Free agent
50Nathan Lukes TOR · ’94.2992.21.6Arb
37David Hamilton MIL · ’97.2850.40.7Arb
33Jeff McNeil ATH · ’92.3000.10.2Free agent
32Zach McKinstry DET · ’95.2880.71.2Arb

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
2B +0.6 +3.1
SS −2.0 +2.5
3B −0.4prior −0.9
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2026RF000.00.07
20263B000.00.014
2026LF−2−20.0−2.027
2026SS+4+3−0.1+2.9698
20262B00−0.3−0.32,014
2025LF000.00.07
2025SS000.00.053
20253B+1+1+0.1+1.1237
2024SS+1+1−0.6+0.41,557
20242B+4+3−1.2+1.82,821
2023LF000.00.053
20231B00−0.5−0.575
2023SS+1+10.0+1.0325
20233B+4+30.0+3.0886
20232B+3+3+0.1+3.11,321

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at 2B)
2024 · 2B2026 · 2B In (charging) +4+4Back +1+2Toward 3B line +1+2Toward 1B line −1−5vs. RHH −2+2vs. LHH +70

At 2B in 2026, the biggest loss came toward 1B line (−5 outs): a coaching target.

Tools (percentile; arm among 2Bs)
Arm at 2B 81.0 mph · 81st
Sprint speed 27.6 ft/s · 55th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★020%
★★★★00—
★★★00—
★★010%
★010%
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
2026SS64−0.7
20262B182−3.0
2024SS146−4.7
20242B266−2.4

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.3 WAR Free agent
2028 −0.1 WAR Free agent
2029 −0.5 WAR Free agent
2030 −0.9 WAR Free agent

A pending free agent: no club controls his 2027. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2026AAAAAAAlbuquerque Isotopes311562 PA 62 PA · .333/.387/.519 · 1 HR · 11.3% K · 9.7% BB
2025AAAAAAIowa Cubs3070301 PA 301 PA · .267/.352/.333 · 0 HR · 12.3% K · 11.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 50% 2/4 won · −0.4 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.