Players / Player profile
STL · DH

Iván Herrera

Age 26 B/T R/R 5′11″, 220 lb Panama MLB debut 2022
40-man
  • St. Louis’ roster as it stands starts at DH · 591 PA · 1.5 WAR in the role
  • Trade read Unlikely to be traded: Young, controllable regular (age 27, control through 2029): the kind of player clubs build around.
xwOBA .335 wOBA .344
2026 fWAR 1.4
Projected 2027 WAR 2.2 at 604 PA · 1.5 in his 2027 role

Hitting · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 710 PA

xwOBA .335 xwOBA: .335, 70th percentile
Swing decisions −0.05 Swing decisions: −0.05, 45th percentile
Contact value +0.05 Contact value: +0.05, 50th percentile
Bat speed 73.7 Bat speed: 73.7, 73rd percentile
Squared-up / swing 22% Squared-up / swing: 22%, 42nd percentile
Blasts / swing 10% Blasts / swing: 10%, 76th percentile
EV90 105.0 EV90: 105.0, 65th percentile
Barrel % 6.2% Barrel %: 6.2%, 35th percentile
Chase % 28.4% Chase %: 28.4%, 59th percentile
Zone contact 87.4% Zone contact: 87.4%, 70th percentile
Strikeout % 19.3% Strikeout %: 19.3%, 64th percentile
Walk % 10.0% Walk %: 10.0%, 67th percentile

Platoon splits · swing path

By pitcher handedness

vsPAwOBAxwOBAK%BB%ChaseDecisionsContact
LHP215.367.38216%15%25%+0.93+1.23
RHP495.333.31421%8%30%−0.53−0.49
Attack angle
7.7° (46% in 5–20°)
Attack direction
−3.7°
Swing length
7.7 ft
Fast-swing rate
37%
Pull-air %
15.9%
Hard-hit %
40.7%
Slash · wRC+
.241/.353/.382 · 109

Zone map · 2026

Where he does damage, and where to pitch him

+1.3+0.5+0.3−0.2+1.0−0.1−0.8−1.2+3.3−1.8−0.5+0.1+0.5+2.8+0.7−0.1−2.9−0.7+0.8−0.2+0.7+0.2+0.8+1.7−0.1RHB

Does the most damage up and away (+3.3 vs. league per 100; 1.6 standard errors on 101 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).

Weakest down and in (−2.9), but only 1.4 standard errors from average on 120 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.

Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,625 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).

Most similar hitters

Swings like Herrera: bat path, contact quality and approach

SimilarityPlayerxwOBA’26 WAR’27 proj2027
73George Springer TOR · ’89.3090.90.7Free agent
70Andy Pages LAD · ’00.3434.53.3Arb
69Tyler Soderstrom ATH · ’01.3291.51.9Signed $6.4M
67Nathaniel Lowe CLE · ’95.3380.50.4Free agent
63Manny Machado SD · ’92.3292.41.7Signed $39.1M

Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.

Fielding

2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.

2027 rating by position · best fit first, on the total with the position’s worth
C −7.6 +4.9
1B −2.0prior −17.5
Outs Above Average by position
SeasonPosOAARangeArm, DPRunsBatters
2025LF00+0.1+0.1121

Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.

Range by direction (OAA at LF)
2025 · LF In (charging) 0Back 0Toward 3B line 0Toward 1B line 0vs. RHH 0vs. LHH 0
Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)
Arm strength —
Sprint speed 26.1 ft/s · 20th
Catch difficulty (latest season)
PlayMadeChancesRate
★★★★★010%
★★★★00—
★★★00—
★★00—
★00—
Zone rating (Keystone expected outs)
SeasonZoneBallsOuts vs. exp.
Too few balls in his zone.

The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.

Compare in the Fielding Lab →

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.2 WAR Arbitration $3.2M*
2028 2.1 WAR Arbitration $6.5M*
2029 1.8 WAR Arbitration $11.1M*
2030 1.4 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevelLevelTeamAgeGPA / IPPA / IP ·Line
2025AAAAAAMemphis Redbirds25830 PA 30 PA · .433/.433/.600 · 1 HR · 26.7% K · 0.0% BB

ABS challenges · 2026

Baseball Savant

As batter 52% 12/23 won · +1.0 runs
As catcher 62% 33/53 won · −0.3 runs
Keystone is an independent portfolio project. It is not affiliated with Major League Baseball or any club. Data: MLB Stats API, Baseball Savant, FanGraphs. Used under their terms for individual, non-commercial use.