CIN · P

Andrew Abbott

Age 27 B/T L/L 6′0″, 192 lb USA MLB debut 2023

40-man Dead-weight pitch

Cincinnati’s roster as it stands #3 starter · 141 IP · 1.7 WAR in the role
Trade read Available at a price: CIN 16% playoff odds; control through 2029.

Keystone Stuff 100 46th pct

2026 fWAR 1.4

Projected 2027 WAR 2.0 at 170 IP · 1.7 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 2,858 pitches

Keystone Stuff 100

Keystone Location 100

Keystone Pitching 93

Run value (xRV) −0.59

Strikeout % 18.0%

Walk % 10.4%

Whiff % 22.3%

Chase % 29.0%

Fastball velo 92.4

Extension 6.5 ft

166.0 IP4.61 ERA4.93 FIP 51° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

LHP · arm angle 51° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam45% use	45%	92.4	16.5	+6.7	96	103	12%	−1.36
Sweeper20% use	20%	82.2	−0.9	−14.0	107	106	27%	+1.01
Changeup19% use	19%	86.2	8.7	+14.6	99	91	37%	−0.49
Curveball13% use	13%	79.8	−6.6	−9.0	101	97	24%	−0.84
Cutter3% use	3%	88.8	7.2	−4.1	109	94	35%	+0.67

Dead weight

Four-seam grades 96 and gets below-average expected results on 45% usage. Against righties, moving about 21 of every 100 pitches to the cutter (109 Stuff), about 50% of his four-seams to them, is worth an estimated 3.5 runs per season, after a 50% haircut for diminishing returns. vs. righties: the cutter is worth +1.6 runs per 100 pitches more, 2.2 standard errors (91 and 885 pitches; his own results against that side combined with Stuff and the league’s platoon split). His fastballs stay at 35%+.

Pitch idea (fragile)

Built from his own fastball (92.4 mph) plus the typical shape 18 pitchers with his slot (51°) throw: a slider around 84.7 mph, 1.3″ rise, −3.2″ arm-side. On the same model it grades +6 against his curveball, the pitch with the same job (−3 to +8 across the production and three cross-fit models), about 107 on his curveball’s scale; the comps’ own sliders grade 104 at the median, so that sits above 78% of them. The fits disagree, so it isn’t queued.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Abbott: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
54	Matthew Liberatore STL · ’99	96	1.1	1.4	Arb
51	Patrick Sandoval BOS · ’96	106	1.3	1.3	Free agent
47	Shota Imanaga CHC · ’93	96	1.8	1.3	Free agent
45	Eduardo Rodriguez AZ · ’93	91	3.2	1.6	Signed $19.0M
45	Ian Seymour TB · ’98	96	1.5	1.1	Pre-arb

Patrick Sandoval (similarity 51, 1.3 WAR projected for 2027) is a free agent this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Four-seam 43%

50% zone

Changeup 26%

29% zone

Curveball 16%

38% zone

Sweeper 11%

37% zone

Cutter 4%

44% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 2.0 WAR Arbitration $3.7M*

2028 2.0 WAR Arbitration $7.0M*

2029 1.8 WAR Arbitration $12.4M*

2030 1.6 WAR Free agent

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2025AAA	AAA	Louisville Bats	26	2	10 IP	10 IP · 3.60 ERA · 18.6% K · 11.6% BB