Patrick Bailey
- Cleveland’s roster as it stands part-time C · 394 PA (C 394) · 1.7 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: CLE sits on the contender line (49% playoff odds, within a projected win of 50%), so it could buy or sell; control through 2029.
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: +0.9 runs per 600 PA against an average park (+0.07 wins over 418 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.92 (×0.92 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 345 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 58 | .222 | .288 | 29% | 14% | 26% | +0.91 | −3.04 |
| RHP | 287 | .290 | .313 | 26% | 7% | 33% | −0.33 | +0.34 |
- Attack angle
- 7.8° (39% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −2.6°
- Swing length
- 7.3 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 27%
- Pull-air %
- 16.5%
- Hard-hit %
- 42.8%
- Slash · wRC+
- .206/.272/.336 · 71
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up and away (+1.5 vs. league per 100; 0.7 standard errors on 46 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down and away (−2.5), but only 1.1 standard errors from average on 52 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average LHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 1,025 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Bailey: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | Ezequiel Duran TEX · ’99 | .302 | 4.4 | 2.2 | Arb |
| 71 | Leody Taveras BAL · ’98 | .280 | 0.4 | 0.2 | Arb |
| 66 | Blaze Alexander BAL · ’99 | .358 | 1.5 | 1.2 | Pre-arb |
| 64 | J.T. Realmuto PHI · ’91 | .316 | 0.7 | 0.5 | Signed $15.0M |
| 63 | Ty France SD · ’94 | .328 | 3.6 | 1.0 | Free agent |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No MLB fielding yet. | ||||||
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
No directional data (needs a qualified season at one position).
Tools (percentile among MLB fielders)| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Too few balls in his zone. | |||
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant