Otto Lopez
- Miami’s roster as it stands starts at SS · 590 PA · 3.6 WAR in the role
- Trade read Available at a price: MIA 38% playoff odds; control through 2029.
- PNC Park Pittsburgh’s home park: −0.5 runs per 600 PA against an average park (−0.06 wins over 603 PA; his WAR leaves this out); home runs ×0.76 (×0.77 for right-handed hitters as a group). Park Fit →
Hitting · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB hitters with 300+ PA · 688 PA
Platoon splits · swing path
By pitcher handedness
| vs | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | K% | BB% | Chase | Decisions | Contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LHP | 172 | .372 | .327 | 13% | 4% | 33% | −0.53 | +1.25 |
| RHP | 516 | .358 | .330 | 13% | 6% | 31% | −0.68 | +0.74 |
- Attack angle
- 5.1° (46% in 5–20°)
- Attack direction
- −3.1°
- Swing length
- 6.8 ft
- Fast-swing rate
- 21%
- Pull-air %
- 11.8%
- Hard-hit %
- 41.0%
- Slash · wRC+
- .305/.349/.437 · 115
Zone map · 2026
Where he does damage, and where to pitch him
Does the most damage up and away (+3.9 vs. league per 100; 1.9 standard errors on 110 pitches, inside the noise for the best of nine cells).
Weakest down over the middle (−0.6), but only 0.3 standard errors from average on 140 pitches: no in-zone spot to attack yet.
Runs per 100 pitches vs. an average RHB: better · worse. Catcher’s view · 2,306 pitches · faded cells are within one standard error of average. A spot is called only when it is farther from average than the best or worst of nine average cells gets 95% of the time (set from the league’s own pitches: about 3 standard errors above, 2 below).
Most similar hitters
Swings like Lopez: bat path, contact quality and approach
| Similarity | Player | xwOBA | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | Ke'Bryan Hayes CIN · ’97 | .284 | −1.3 | −0.2 | Signed $7.0M |
| 65 | Alejandro Kirk TOR · ’98 | .308 | 2.8 | 2.8 | Signed $12.3M |
| 60 | Alec Bohm PHI · ’96 | .329 | 0.2 | 1.0 | Free agent |
| 52 | Cole Young SEA · ’03 | .316 | 2.0 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 51 | Gabriel Moreno AZ · ’00 | .365 | 5.4 | 4.0 | Arb |
Nearest neighbours on bat speed, swing length, attack angle, squared-up and blast rates, EV90, barrels, pull-air, chase, zone contact, K% and BB%. 2026 regulars only.
Fielding
2027 rating at every position he can play · OAA by position · range by direction · tools. Same engine as the Fielding Lab and the Winter Plan.
| Season | Pos | OAA | Range | Arm, DP | Runs | Batters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SS | +14 | +11 | +1.7 | +12.7 | 5,805 |
| 2025 | 2B | +6 | +4 | −0.3 | +3.7 | 1,215 |
| 2025 | SS | +3 | +3 | −1.0 | +2.0 | 4,042 |
| 2024 | 3B | −1 | −1 | −0.1 | −1.1 | 170 |
| 2024 | SS | −1 | −1 | −0.1 | −1.1 | 223 |
| 2024 | 2B | +16 | +12 | −1.7 | +10.3 | 3,686 |
Runs = range plus his arm and double-play runs spread over his positions by outs (Fielding Run Value, from 2023): what the rating counts.
| Season | Zone | Balls | Outs vs. exp. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | SS | 538 | +10.2 |
| 2025 | SS | 338 | −0.5 |
| 2025 | 2B | 132 | +4.0 |
| 2024 | 2B | 356 | +6.5 |
The zone rating counts every ball hit to his part of the field while he played there, his club’s positioning included; Savant OAA uses his actual starting spot and is the better individual grade. They agree best in the outfield. See the model card.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025AAA | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 26 | 1 | 4 PA | 4 PA · .250/.250/.500 · 0 HR · 25.0% K · 0.0% BB |
ABS challenges · 2026
Baseball Savant