HOU · P

Mike Burrows

Age 26 B/T R/R 6′1″, 200 lb USA MLB debut 2024

40-man

Houston’s roster as it stands #5 starter · 119 IP · 0.5 WAR in the role
Injured list Ended 2026 on the 60-day IL: Right elbow neuritis (since Jul 7)
Trade read Available at a price: HOU 43% playoff odds; control through 2031.

Keystone Stuff 90 11th pct

2026 fWAR −0.4

Projected 2027 WAR 0.5 at 127 IP · 0.5 in his 2027 role

Pitching · 2026 percentiles

vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,567 pitches

Keystone Stuff 90

Keystone Location 101

Keystone Pitching 92

Run value (xRV) −0.44

Strikeout % 17.7%

Walk % 8.3%

Whiff % 21.5%

Chase % 32.3%

Fastball velo 94.8

Extension 6.3 ft

94.2 IP5.99 ERA5.63 FIP 40° arm

Arsenal & Pitch Lab

Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch

RHP · arm angle 40° · how to read

Pitch	Use	Velo	IVB	HB	Stuff	Loc	Whiff	xRV/100
Four-seam29% use	29%	95.0	16.5	+8.7	95	100	13%	−1.26
Changeup27% use	27%	86.7	5.8	+15.0	88	100	31%	+0.34
Slider16% use	16%	89.5	7.2	−3.7	100	115	27%	+0.53
Curveball14% use	14%	79.0	−13.3	−10.8	90	89	24%	−1.04
Sinker14% use	14%	94.5	12.8	+14.6	93	97	10%	−0.79

No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.

Most similar pitchers

Pitches like Burrows: same hand, shape, slot and mix

Similarity	Player	Stuff	’26 WAR	’27 proj	2027
70	Casey Mize SD · ’97	90	2.3	2.1	Free agent
69	Zebby Matthews MIN · ’00	92	0.7	1.1	—
62	Tanner Gordon COL · ’97	80	0.4	0.5	—
61	Max Scherzer TOR · ’84	97	0.3	0.1	Free agent
61	Zac Gallen AZ · ’95	90	−0.1	0.6	Free agent

Casey Mize (similarity 70, 2.1 WAR projected for 2027), Zac Gallen (similarity 61, 0.6 WAR projected for 2027) are free agents this winter: a similar arsenal available without trading talent, at a free agent’s price. Opportunity Finder →

Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.

Pitch locations · 2026

Where each pitch finishes, by batter side

Changeup 35%

35% zone

Four-seam 32%

46% zone

Curveball 16%

36% zone

Slider 12%

51% zone

Sinker 5%

48% zone

Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.

Contract & projection

Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR

2027 0.5 WAR Pre-arb $780K*

2028 0.5 WAR Arbitration $1.4M*

2029 0.5 WAR Arbitration $2.4M*

2030 0.4 WAR Arbitration $2.8M*

* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →

Minor leagues

MLB Stats API · public box-score data

SeasonLevel	Level	Team	Age	G	PA / IP	PA / IP ·Line
2026AAA	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	26	4	15.1 IP	15.1 IP · 1.76 ERA · 25.4% K · 7.5% BB
2025AAA	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	25	8	32.1 IP	32.1 IP · 2.51 ERA · 31.5% K · 8.5% BB