SEA · P
Bryce Miller
Age 28 B/T R/R 6′2″, 200 lb USA MLB debut 2023
- Seattle’s roster as it stands #4 starter · 125 IP · 0.9 WAR in the role
- Injured list 2026: Left oblique strain (Mar 25–May 13)
- Trade read Available at a price: SEA 47% playoff odds; control through 2029.His 2027 is a $6.08M club option SEA decides about five days after the World Series: exercised, he’s a trade target; declined, he still has under six years of service (about 3 years, 153 days after 2026), so he goes to arbitration and stays SEA’s unless he’s non-tendered by Nov 20.
Keystone Stuff 104 67th pct
2026 fWAR 0.9
Projected 2027 WAR 1.0 at 138 IP · 0.9 in his 2027 role
Pitching · 2026 percentiles
vs. MLB pitchers with 500+ pitches · 1,884 pitches
118.2 IP4.17 ERA4.41 FIP 46° arm
Arsenal & Pitch Lab
Movement normalized to arm side · Keystone Stuff by pitch
| Pitch | Use | Velo | IVB | HB | Stuff | Loc | Whiff | xRV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam40% use | 40% | 95.9 | 18.6 | +4.4 | 105 | 109 | 22% | +0.67 |
| Splitter23% use | 23% | 84.6 | 4.2 | +9.4 | 107 | 108 | 32% | +1.87 |
| Slider11% use | 11% | 87.3 | 1.2 | −4.2 | 103 | 107 | 29% | −0.37 |
| Sinker9% use | 9% | 95.3 | 13.7 | +13.2 | 90 | 96 | 2% | +0.17 |
| Sweeper7% use | 7% | 83.7 | −6.9 | −14.9 | 100 | 100 | 23% | +0.28 |
| Cutter5% use | 5% | 91.0 | 9.3 | −4.5 | 104 | 96 | 34% | −1.24 |
| Knuckle curve4% use | 4% | 82.9 | −12.7 | −4.1 | 91 | 99 | 27% | +0.80 |
No mix change or new pitch clears its bar. The arsenal is efficient for its shapes.
Most similar pitchers
Pitches like Miller: same hand, shape, slot and mix
| Similarity | Player | Stuff | ’26 WAR | ’27 proj | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | Brandon Young BAL · ’98 | 92 | 1.6 | 1.1 | Pre-arb |
| 59 | Jack Leiter TEX · ’00 | 103 | 0.5 | 1.2 | Pre-arb |
| 55 | Troy Melton DET · ’00 | 101 | 1.6 | 1.5 | Pre-arb |
| 52 | Andrew Painter PHI · ’03 | 102 | 1.1 | 1.3 | Pre-arb |
| 50 | Gerrit Cole NYY · ’90 | 104 | 2.1 | 1.1 | Signed $36.0M |
Same-handed pitchers nearest on fastball velocity and shape, arm angle, extension, pitch mix, secondary shapes, Stuff, whiff rate and workload. 2026 regulars only.
Pitch locations · 2026
Where each pitch finishes, by batter side
Where each pitch finishes, catcher’s view. The bar marks the batter’s side; the box is an average strike zone. Pitches with 40+ thrown to this side.
Contract & projection
Club control (RosterResource) · Keystone projected WAR
2027 1.0 WAR Club option $6.1M
2028 1.0 WAR Arbitration $2.3M*
2029 0.9 WAR Arbitration $4.6M*
2030 0.7 WAR Free agent
* projected arbitration or minimum salary. Contract Studio →
Minor leagues
MLB Stats API · public box-score data
| SeasonLevel | Level | Team | Age | G | PA / IP | PA / IP ·Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026A+ | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 27 | 2 | 8 IP | 8 IP · 0.00 ERA · 26.7% K · 13.3% BB |
| 2026AAA | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 27 | 2 | 5.2 IP | 5.2 IP · 4.76 ERA · 24.0% K · 12.0% BB |
| 2025AAA | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 26 | 3 | 13.1 IP | 13.1 IP · 4.05 ERA · 30.0% K · 6.0% BB |